Patrick Mahomes leads trader consensus for the 2026-27 AP Comeback Player of the Year at 38.5% implied probability following his rapid recovery from a torn ACL and LCL suffered late in the 2025 season, with early training camp reports highlighting his ahead-of-schedule progress and adjusted throwing mechanics. Kyler Murray sits next at 11.5% amid his own foot injury recovery and fresh start with a new team, while Daniel Jones, Malik Nabers, Michael Penix Jr., and Tua Tagovailoa cluster lower amid their respective injury timelines and roster situations. The broad field stays competitive because multiple quarterbacks and skill players are returning from major ailments with uncertain volume and supporting casts, leaving substantial probability distributed across "Other" and longshots as the regular season approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPatrick Mahomes 39%
Kyler Murray 12%
Daniel Jones 4.2%
Malik Nabers 3.3%
Patrick Mahomes
39%
Kyler Murray
12%
Daniel Jones
4%
Malik Nabers
3%
Michael Penix Jr.
2%
Tua Tagovailoa
2%
Patrick Mahomes 39%
Kyler Murray 12%
Daniel Jones 4.2%
Malik Nabers 3.3%
Patrick Mahomes
39%
Kyler Murray
12%
Daniel Jones
4%
Malik Nabers
3%
Michael Penix Jr.
2%
Tua Tagovailoa
2%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 9:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Patrick Mahomes leads trader consensus for the 2026-27 AP Comeback Player of the Year at 38.5% implied probability following his rapid recovery from a torn ACL and LCL suffered late in the 2025 season, with early training camp reports highlighting his ahead-of-schedule progress and adjusted throwing mechanics. Kyler Murray sits next at 11.5% amid his own foot injury recovery and fresh start with a new team, while Daniel Jones, Malik Nabers, Michael Penix Jr., and Tua Tagovailoa cluster lower amid their respective injury timelines and roster situations. The broad field stays competitive because multiple quarterbacks and skill players are returning from major ailments with uncertain volume and supporting casts, leaving substantial probability distributed across "Other" and longshots as the regular season approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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