The Parti Québécois maintains a steady lead in recent Quebec provincial polling averages at around 30 percent, driven by strong francophone support and favorable seat projections that point to a majority in the National Assembly on October 5. This positioning reflects trader consensus on the party's momentum ahead of the fixed-date vote, despite roughly half of decided voters remaining open to shifts. The Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec trail in second and third, hampered by weaker regional performance and lingering effects from prior governance challenges, while smaller parties like the Conservatives show limited path to victory under the first-past-the-post system. High undecided rates and the short campaign window introduce potential volatility that could still alter outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedQuebec General Election Winner
Quebec General Election Winner
PQ 70%
PLQ 17%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$805,584 Vol.
$805,584 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
70%
PLQ
17%
CAQ
15%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 70%
PLQ 17%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$805,584 Vol.
$805,584 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$92,454 Vol.
70%
PLQ
$106,757 Vol.
17%
CAQ
$114,920 Vol.
15%
PCQ
$230,260 Vol.
<1%
QS
$103,696 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a steady lead in recent Quebec provincial polling averages at around 30 percent, driven by strong francophone support and favorable seat projections that point to a majority in the National Assembly on October 5. This positioning reflects trader consensus on the party's momentum ahead of the fixed-date vote, despite roughly half of decided voters remaining open to shifts. The Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec trail in second and third, hampered by weaker regional performance and lingering effects from prior governance challenges, while smaller parties like the Conservatives show limited path to victory under the first-past-the-post system. High undecided rates and the short campaign window introduce potential volatility that could still alter outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$805,584End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a steady lead in recent Quebec provincial polling averages at around 30 percent, driven by strong francophone support and favorable seat projections that point to a majority in the National Assembly on October 5. This positioning reflects trader consensus on the party's momentum ahead of the fixed-date vote, despite roughly half of decided voters remaining open to shifts. The Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec trail in second and third, hampered by weaker regional performance and lingering effects from prior governance challenges, while smaller parties like the Conservatives show limited path to victory under the first-past-the-post system. High undecided rates and the short campaign window introduce potential volatility that could still alter outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$805,584End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains a steady lead in recent Quebec provincial polling averages at around 30 percent, driven by strong francophone support and favorable seat projections that point to a majority in the National Assembly on October 5. This positioning reflects trader consensus on the party's momentum ahead of the fixed-date vote, despite roughly half of decided voters remaining open to shifts. The Quebec Liberal Party and Coalition Avenir Québec trail in second and third, hampered by weaker regional performance and lingering effects from prior governance challenges, while smaller parties like the Conservatives show limited path to victory under the first-past-the-post system. High undecided rates and the short campaign window introduce potential volatility that could still alter outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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