Recent polling consistently shows the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30% support, ahead of the Quebec Liberals at 24-27% and the CAQ at 19-20%, with the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 13-15%. The PQ's strength among francophone voters, who decide most ridings outside Montreal, supports projections of it securing the largest number of seats in the October 5 election. New CAQ leader Christine Fréchette and PLQ leader Charles Milliard have not reversed their parties' declines since François Legault's resignation earlier in 2026. High undecided voter shares near 50% and vote splitting among federalist parties contribute to the current trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedQuebec General Election Winner
Quebec General Election Winner
PQ 70%
PLQ 17%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$805,582 Vol.
$805,582 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
70%
PLQ
17%
CAQ
15%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 70%
PLQ 17%
CAQ 15%
PCQ <1%
$805,582 Vol.
$805,582 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$92,454 Vol.
70%
PLQ
$106,757 Vol.
17%
CAQ
$114,920 Vol.
15%
PCQ
$230,258 Vol.
<1%
QS
$103,696 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling consistently shows the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30% support, ahead of the Quebec Liberals at 24-27% and the CAQ at 19-20%, with the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 13-15%. The PQ's strength among francophone voters, who decide most ridings outside Montreal, supports projections of it securing the largest number of seats in the October 5 election. New CAQ leader Christine Fréchette and PLQ leader Charles Milliard have not reversed their parties' declines since François Legault's resignation earlier in 2026. High undecided voter shares near 50% and vote splitting among federalist parties contribute to the current trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$805,582End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling consistently shows the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30% support, ahead of the Quebec Liberals at 24-27% and the CAQ at 19-20%, with the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 13-15%. The PQ's strength among francophone voters, who decide most ridings outside Montreal, supports projections of it securing the largest number of seats in the October 5 election. New CAQ leader Christine Fréchette and PLQ leader Charles Milliard have not reversed their parties' declines since François Legault's resignation earlier in 2026. High undecided voter shares near 50% and vote splitting among federalist parties contribute to the current trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$805,582End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling consistently shows the Parti Québécois leading with roughly 30% support, ahead of the Quebec Liberals at 24-27% and the CAQ at 19-20%, with the Parti Conservateur du Québec near 13-15%. The PQ's strength among francophone voters, who decide most ridings outside Montreal, supports projections of it securing the largest number of seats in the October 5 election. New CAQ leader Christine Fréchette and PLQ leader Charles Milliard have not reversed their parties' declines since François Legault's resignation earlier in 2026. High undecided voter shares near 50% and vote splitting among federalist parties contribute to the current trader consensus favoring a PQ plurality or majority outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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