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Politics·US Election

Republican VP Nominee 2028

icon for Republican VP Nominee 2028
Politics·US Election

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio 32%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 8.5%

J.D. Vance 8%

Thomas Massie 6.5%

Polymarket

$36,032 Vol.

Marco Rubio 32%

Marjorie Taylor Greene 8.5%

J.D. Vance 8%

Thomas Massie 6.5%

Polymarket

$36,032 Vol.

Marco Rubio

$10,222 Vol.

32%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$889 Vol.

9%

J.D. Vance

$3,642 Vol.

8%

Thomas Massie

$797 Vol.

6%

Elise Stefanik

$551 Vol.

5%

Katie Britt

$502 Vol.

5%

Greg Abbott

$602 Vol.

5%

Rand Paul

$534 Vol.

5%

Brian Kemp

$831 Vol.

5%

Ivanka Trump

$438 Vol.

5%

Tucker Carlson

$440 Vol.

5%

Tulsi Gabbard

$1,071 Vol.

4%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$603 Vol.

4%

Nikki Haley

$965 Vol.

4%

Josh Hawley

$607 Vol.

4%

Ron DeSantis

$732 Vol.

4%

Glenn Youngkin

$486 Vol.

3%

Donald Trump

$608 Vol.

3%

Matt Gaetz

$586 Vol.

3%

Ted Cruz

$869 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$488 Vol.

3%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$1,002 Vol.

3%

Joe Kent

$618 Vol.

3%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$619 Vol.

3%

Tom Brady

$571 Vol.

3%

Byron Donalds

$826 Vol.

2%

Eric Trump

$775 Vol.

2%

Donald Trump Jr.

$1,135 Vol.

2%

Mike Pence

$480 Vol.

1%

Erika Kirk

$749 Vol.

1%

Kim Kardashian

$411 Vol.

1%

Steve Bannon

$367 Vol.

1%

Kristi Noem

$432 Vol.

1%

John Thune

$900 Vol.

1%

Pete Hegseth

$682 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marco Rubio leads the fragmented 2028 Republican vice presidential nominee market at 31.5 percent, reflecting trader consensus on his elevated profile as Secretary of State and diplomatic experience under the current administration. A wide-open field follows, with Marjorie Taylor Greene at 8.9 percent and J.D. Vance at 7.5 percent, driven by differing bases of support among MAGA-aligned voters, governors, senators, and outsiders. Recent polling and straw polls show Rubio gaining visibility through foreign policy roles, while Vance’s current vice presidency fuels speculation he may pursue the presidential nomination instead. Consolidation could occur around shared priorities such as Senate dynamics, Trump administration preferences, or standout performances in upcoming midterms and primaries that narrow the presidential ticket.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,032
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Marco Rubio leads the fragmented 2028 Republican vice presidential nominee market at 31.5 percent, reflecting trader consensus on his elevated profile as Secretary of State and diplomatic experience under the current administration. A wide-open field follows, with Marjorie Taylor Greene at 8.9 percent and J.D. Vance at 7.5 percent, driven by differing bases of support among MAGA-aligned voters, governors, senators, and outsiders. Recent polling and straw polls show Rubio gaining visibility through foreign policy roles, while Vance’s current vice presidency fuels speculation he may pursue the presidential nomination instead. Consolidation could occur around shared priorities such as Senate dynamics, Trump administration preferences, or standout performances in upcoming midterms and primaries that narrow the presidential ticket.

This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,032
End Date
Aug 14, 2028
Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Republican VP Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 32%, followed by "Marjorie Taylor Greene" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Republican VP Nominee 2028" has generated $36K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Republican VP Nominee 2028," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" is "Marco Rubio" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marjorie Taylor Greene" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Republican VP Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.