SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted in the largest U.S. IPO on record at a $135 offering price in mid-June 2026 and initially climbed above $160, have traded near $137 amid post-earnings volatility and profit-taking. Heavy Q2 capital expenditures of $18.4 billion tied to AI initiatives, alongside a narrower but still sizable quarterly loss, weighed on sentiment after the August 4 release, extending a multi-week decline that erased much of the post-IPO gain. With resolution days away, traders are focused on end-of-month order flow, any incremental Starlink or launch updates, and broader equity risk appetite, as analyst price targets averaging around $220 contrast with the current level reflecting execution risks and elevated valuation multiples near 60-90x trailing revenue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 31, 2026
$50
90%
$60
90%
$70
90%
$80
93%
$90
92%
$100
90%
$110
90%
$120
87%
$130
65%
$140
38%
$150
22%
$160
10%
$170
11%
$1,259 Vol.
$50
$75 Vol.
90%
$60
$75 Vol.
90%
$70
$126 Vol.
90%
$80
$10 Vol.
93%
$90
$10 Vol.
92%
$100
$3 Vol.
90%
$110
$0 Vol.
90%
$120
$132 Vol.
87%
$130
$91 Vol.
65%
$140
$0 Vol.
38%
$150
$687 Vol.
22%
$160
$50 Vol.
10%
$170
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted in the largest U.S. IPO on record at a $135 offering price in mid-June 2026 and initially climbed above $160, have traded near $137 amid post-earnings volatility and profit-taking. Heavy Q2 capital expenditures of $18.4 billion tied to AI initiatives, alongside a narrower but still sizable quarterly loss, weighed on sentiment after the August 4 release, extending a multi-week decline that erased much of the post-IPO gain. With resolution days away, traders are focused on end-of-month order flow, any incremental Starlink or launch updates, and broader equity risk appetite, as analyst price targets averaging around $220 contrast with the current level reflecting execution risks and elevated valuation multiples near 60-90x trailing revenue.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,259End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted in the largest U.S. IPO on record at a $135 offering price in mid-June 2026 and initially climbed above $160, have traded near $137 amid post-earnings volatility and profit-taking. Heavy Q2 capital expenditures of $18.4 billion tied to AI initiatives, alongside a narrower but still sizable quarterly loss, weighed on sentiment after the August 4 release, extending a multi-week decline that erased much of the post-IPO gain. With resolution days away, traders are focused on end-of-month order flow, any incremental Starlink or launch updates, and broader equity risk appetite, as analyst price targets averaging around $220 contrast with the current level reflecting execution risks and elevated valuation multiples near 60-90x trailing revenue.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Volume
$1,259End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which debuted in the largest U.S. IPO on record at a $135 offering price in mid-June 2026 and initially climbed above $160, have traded near $137 amid post-earnings volatility and profit-taking. Heavy Q2 capital expenditures of $18.4 billion tied to AI initiatives, alongside a narrower but still sizable quarterly loss, weighed on sentiment after the August 4 release, extending a multi-week decline that erased much of the post-IPO gain. With resolution days away, traders are focused on end-of-month order flow, any incremental Starlink or launch updates, and broader equity risk appetite, as analyst price targets averaging around $220 contrast with the current level reflecting execution risks and elevated valuation multiples near 60-90x trailing revenue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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