SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed the prior week near $136.97, just above the June IPO price of $135 amid post-listing volatility and a series of lock-up expirations that released hundreds of millions of shares for potential sale in early and mid-August. Traders are weighing robust Q2 results—revenue surged 92% year-over-year to $7.8 billion on Starlink and AI/compute growth—against heavy capital spending, ongoing net losses, and a wide analyst target range of roughly $100 to $300 that reflects uncertainty over the company’s elevated valuation multiples. Key near-term catalysts include Falcon and Starlink launch windows plus any further share supply dynamics that could influence closing levels by week-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$105
90%
$110
90%
$115
92%
$120
95%
$125
90%
$130
80%
$135
51%
$140
23%
$145
12%
$150
7%
$155
14%
$160
9%
$165
9%
$0.00 Vol.
$105
90%
$110
90%
$115
92%
$120
95%
$125
90%
$130
80%
$135
51%
$140
23%
$145
12%
$150
7%
$155
14%
$160
9%
$165
9%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed the prior week near $136.97, just above the June IPO price of $135 amid post-listing volatility and a series of lock-up expirations that released hundreds of millions of shares for potential sale in early and mid-August. Traders are weighing robust Q2 results—revenue surged 92% year-over-year to $7.8 billion on Starlink and AI/compute growth—against heavy capital spending, ongoing net losses, and a wide analyst target range of roughly $100 to $300 that reflects uncertainty over the company’s elevated valuation multiples. Key near-term catalysts include Falcon and Starlink launch windows plus any further share supply dynamics that could influence closing levels by week-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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