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Politics·US Election

St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner

icon for St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·US Election

St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner

Polymarket

$55,860 Vol.

Polymarket

$55,860 Vol.

icon for Charlie Crist

Charlie Crist

$45,215 Vol.

87%

icon for Ken Welch

Ken Welch

$7,454 Vol.

13%

The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.Charlie Crist's commanding position in the St. Petersburg mayoral runoff stems from his first-place finish in the August 18 primary, where he captured roughly 35% of the vote compared to incumbent Ken Welch's 21%, securing advancement under the city's nonpartisan rules requiring a majority. Multiple endorsements from former mayors and eliminated candidates, combined with Crist's record fundraising and broad polling leads ahead of the primary, have reinforced trader expectations for a November 3 victory. Welch's weaker showing across most precincts and limited post-primary support have kept his implied probability low, though the runoff format leaves room for shifts based on turnout and campaign dynamics in the coming weeks.

The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
Volume
$55,860
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.Charlie Crist's commanding position in the St. Petersburg mayoral runoff stems from his first-place finish in the August 18 primary, where he captured roughly 35% of the vote compared to incumbent Ken Welch's 21%, securing advancement under the city's nonpartisan rules requiring a majority. Multiple endorsements from former mayors and eliminated candidates, combined with Crist's record fundraising and broad polling leads ahead of the primary, have reinforced trader expectations for a November 3 victory. Welch's weaker showing across most precincts and limited post-primary support have kept his implied probability low, though the runoff format leaves room for shifts based on turnout and campaign dynamics in the coming weeks.

The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
Volume
$55,860
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Charlie Crist" at 87%, followed by "Ken Welch" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $55.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner" is "Charlie Crist" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ken Welch" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.