Apple's March 2026 launch of the MacBook Neo as an affordable entry-level model with the A18 Pro chip, Liquid Retina display, and strong education pricing has driven robust sales and production ramps, underpinning the 95.3% market-implied probability that the company will continue selling it through year-end. Traders see the device expanding Apple's consumer laptop reach without signs of imminent discontinuation, despite finite A18 Pro supply from prior iPhone models. A shift to an A19 Pro version could occur naturally as chips deplete, but full removal from Apple's storefront by December 31 remains unlikely absent major supply disruptions or unexpected regulatory hurdles on hardware imports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
5% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's March 2026 launch of the MacBook Neo as an affordable entry-level model with the A18 Pro chip, Liquid Retina display, and strong education pricing has driven robust sales and production ramps, underpinning the 95.3% market-implied probability that the company will continue selling it through year-end. Traders see the device expanding Apple's consumer laptop reach without signs of imminent discontinuation, despite finite A18 Pro supply from prior iPhone models. A shift to an A19 Pro version could occur naturally as chips deplete, but full removal from Apple's storefront by December 31 remains unlikely absent major supply disruptions or unexpected regulatory hurdles on hardware imports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$2,062End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's March 2026 launch of the MacBook Neo as an affordable entry-level model with the A18 Pro chip, Liquid Retina display, and strong education pricing has driven robust sales and production ramps, underpinning the 95.3% market-implied probability that the company will continue selling it through year-end. Traders see the device expanding Apple's consumer laptop reach without signs of imminent discontinuation, despite finite A18 Pro supply from prior iPhone models. A shift to an A19 Pro version could occur naturally as chips deplete, but full removal from Apple's storefront by December 31 remains unlikely absent major supply disruptions or unexpected regulatory hurdles on hardware imports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,062End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's March 2026 launch of the MacBook Neo as an affordable entry-level model with the A18 Pro chip, Liquid Retina display, and strong education pricing has driven robust sales and production ramps, underpinning the 95.3% market-implied probability that the company will continue selling it through year-end. Traders see the device expanding Apple's consumer laptop reach without signs of imminent discontinuation, despite finite A18 Pro supply from prior iPhone models. A shift to an A19 Pro version could occur naturally as chips deplete, but full removal from Apple's storefront by December 31 remains unlikely absent major supply disruptions or unexpected regulatory hurdles on hardware imports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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