Strong prior voter approval drives the 96% implied probability for passage of Nevada’s Question 6 abortion-rights constitutional amendment on November 3, 2026. The measure secured roughly 64% support in 2024, and Nevada’s requirement for two successive even-year elections has produced minimal subsequent shifts in polling or organized opposition. Existing statutory protections up to viability, combined with consistent public backing for ballot measures on reproductive policy, reinforce trader consensus that the second vote will meet the same threshold. Late developments such as unusually low turnout among supportive voters, successful last-minute legal challenges to ballot language, or major external events altering statewide sentiment remain the primary realistic pathways that could still change the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated90% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
90% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Strong prior voter approval drives the 96% implied probability for passage of Nevada’s Question 6 abortion-rights constitutional amendment on November 3, 2026. The measure secured roughly 64% support in 2024, and Nevada’s requirement for two successive even-year elections has produced minimal subsequent shifts in polling or organized opposition. Existing statutory protections up to viability, combined with consistent public backing for ballot measures on reproductive policy, reinforce trader consensus that the second vote will meet the same threshold. Late developments such as unusually low turnout among supportive voters, successful last-minute legal challenges to ballot language, or major external events altering statewide sentiment remain the primary realistic pathways that could still change the outcome before election day.
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Market Opened: Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volume
$824End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Strong prior voter approval drives the 96% implied probability for passage of Nevada’s Question 6 abortion-rights constitutional amendment on November 3, 2026. The measure secured roughly 64% support in 2024, and Nevada’s requirement for two successive even-year elections has produced minimal subsequent shifts in polling or organized opposition. Existing statutory protections up to viability, combined with consistent public backing for ballot measures on reproductive policy, reinforce trader consensus that the second vote will meet the same threshold. Late developments such as unusually low turnout among supportive voters, successful last-minute legal challenges to ballot language, or major external events altering statewide sentiment remain the primary realistic pathways that could still change the outcome before election day.
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Volume
$824End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong prior voter approval drives the 96% implied probability for passage of Nevada’s Question 6 abortion-rights constitutional amendment on November 3, 2026. The measure secured roughly 64% support in 2024, and Nevada’s requirement for two successive even-year elections has produced minimal subsequent shifts in polling or organized opposition. Existing statutory protections up to viability, combined with consistent public backing for ballot measures on reproductive policy, reinforce trader consensus that the second vote will meet the same threshold. Late developments such as unusually low turnout among supportive voters, successful last-minute legal challenges to ballot language, or major external events altering statewide sentiment remain the primary realistic pathways that could still change the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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