**Proposition 5**, the legislative constitutional amendment on California's November 3, 2026 ballot, would eliminate the successor-election question from state-level recall ballots, leaving only a yes/no vote on removal while filling vacancies through existing succession rules or special elections. Recalled officials could also run again in those contests. The measure, referred by the legislature and backed by Secretary of State Shirley Weber and the League of Women Voters, aims to reduce coordinated opposition incentives during recalls. It faces opposition from groups such as Election Integrity Project California. With multiple local and judicial recall efforts active or recently concluded in 2025–2026, including a 2025 gubernatorial attempt, traders appear to view retention of the current two-question format as more likely, producing the modest “No” edge at 58.5%. No major late-August developments have shifted this consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCalifornia Recall Election Reform Proposition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Proposition 5**, the legislative constitutional amendment on California's November 3, 2026 ballot, would eliminate the successor-election question from state-level recall ballots, leaving only a yes/no vote on removal while filling vacancies through existing succession rules or special elections. Recalled officials could also run again in those contests. The measure, referred by the legislature and backed by Secretary of State Shirley Weber and the League of Women Voters, aims to reduce coordinated opposition incentives during recalls. It faces opposition from groups such as Election Integrity Project California. With multiple local and judicial recall efforts active or recently concluded in 2025–2026, including a 2025 gubernatorial attempt, traders appear to view retention of the current two-question format as more likely, producing the modest “No” edge at 58.5%. No major late-August developments have shifted this consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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