Recent average daily posting rates of roughly 25-35 tweets have shaped trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s upcoming eight-day window, with historical weekly totals frequently landing in the 160-259 range. Volume fluctuates with weekend slowdowns, breaking news cycles, and Musk’s focus on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and political commentary, creating the tight clustering around 200-259 outcomes. Precedent from August 2026 settlements—such as the 160-179 and 240-259 bands—reinforces this baseline while underscoring the potential for short-term spikes or dips that keep multiple adjacent brackets competitive. No major scheduled events stand out to shift momentum before the period begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated220-239 14%
200-219 13%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
NEW
$36,693 Vol.
NEW
$36,693 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
3%
140-159
7%
160-179
10%
180-199
12%
200-219
13%
220-239
14%
240-259
13%
260-279
9%
280-299
7%
300-319
3%
320-339
3%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
1%
500+
<1%
220-239 14%
200-219 13%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
NEW
$36,693 Vol.
NEW
$36,693 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<20
$3,571 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$2,571 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$4,808 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$1,416 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$887 Vol.
2%
120-139
$2,725 Vol.
3%
140-159
$495 Vol.
7%
160-179
$886 Vol.
10%
180-199
$359 Vol.
12%
200-219
$567 Vol.
13%
220-239
$1,575 Vol.
14%
240-259
$1,893 Vol.
13%
260-279
$940 Vol.
9%
280-299
$902 Vol.
7%
300-319
$2,846 Vol.
3%
320-339
$337 Vol.
3%
340-359
$323 Vol.
1%
360-379
$1,364 Vol.
1%
380-399
$1,289 Vol.
1%
400-419
$1,551 Vol.
1%
420-439
$1,073 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$451 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$251 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$1,209 Vol.
1%
500+
$835 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent average daily posting rates of roughly 25-35 tweets have shaped trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s upcoming eight-day window, with historical weekly totals frequently landing in the 160-259 range. Volume fluctuates with weekend slowdowns, breaking news cycles, and Musk’s focus on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and political commentary, creating the tight clustering around 200-259 outcomes. Precedent from August 2026 settlements—such as the 160-179 and 240-259 bands—reinforces this baseline while underscoring the potential for short-term spikes or dips that keep multiple adjacent brackets competitive. No major scheduled events stand out to shift momentum before the period begins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$36,693End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent average daily posting rates of roughly 25-35 tweets have shaped trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s upcoming eight-day window, with historical weekly totals frequently landing in the 160-259 range. Volume fluctuates with weekend slowdowns, breaking news cycles, and Musk’s focus on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and political commentary, creating the tight clustering around 200-259 outcomes. Precedent from August 2026 settlements—such as the 160-179 and 240-259 bands—reinforces this baseline while underscoring the potential for short-term spikes or dips that keep multiple adjacent brackets competitive. No major scheduled events stand out to shift momentum before the period begins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$36,693End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent average daily posting rates of roughly 25-35 tweets have shaped trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s upcoming eight-day window, with historical weekly totals frequently landing in the 160-259 range. Volume fluctuates with weekend slowdowns, breaking news cycles, and Musk’s focus on Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and political commentary, creating the tight clustering around 200-259 outcomes. Precedent from August 2026 settlements—such as the 160-179 and 240-259 bands—reinforces this baseline while underscoring the potential for short-term spikes or dips that keep multiple adjacent brackets competitive. No major scheduled events stand out to shift momentum before the period begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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