**Republican nominee John Cowan holds a strong position in Georgia’s 11th Congressional District, an open, solidly Republican seat in the northern Atlanta exurbs.** Forecasts project him at roughly 60% against Democrat Chris Harden (around 40%), consistent with the district’s recent performance where the prior incumbent won by wide margins and Trump carried it by 18.5 points in 2024. Georgia requires a majority for outright victory in the November 3 general election; otherwise a December 1 runoff follows. With only one notable independent (Natalie Richoz) on the ballot and no competitive polling showing a close race, traders assess a moderate-to-high likelihood that Cowan clears 50% on the first round. Recent primary results (Cowan’s June runoff win and Harden’s May primary victory) and race ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others reinforce the safe-Republican outlook without indicating late developments likely to fragment the vote enough to force a runoff.