Longtime Democratic incumbent Bobby Scott, first elected in 1993 and reelected with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces Republican Edwin Rivera in Virginia’s 3rd District on November 3, 2026. The Hampton Roads-based seat maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling it Solid or Safe Democratic and Scott’s unopposed primary advancement in August. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party near 95 percent aligns with the district’s consistent double-digit margins and limited Republican fundraising or visibility. A commanding lead could narrow only in the event of an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national partisan swing before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$51,355 Vol.
$51,355 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$51,355 Vol.
$51,355 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,441 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$29,914 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Bobby Scott, first elected in 1993 and reelected with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces Republican Edwin Rivera in Virginia’s 3rd District on November 3, 2026. The Hampton Roads-based seat maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling it Solid or Safe Democratic and Scott’s unopposed primary advancement in August. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party near 95 percent aligns with the district’s consistent double-digit margins and limited Republican fundraising or visibility. A commanding lead could narrow only in the event of an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national partisan swing before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$51,355End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Bobby Scott, first elected in 1993 and reelected with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces Republican Edwin Rivera in Virginia’s 3rd District on November 3, 2026. The Hampton Roads-based seat maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling it Solid or Safe Democratic and Scott’s unopposed primary advancement in August. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party near 95 percent aligns with the district’s consistent double-digit margins and limited Republican fundraising or visibility. A commanding lead could narrow only in the event of an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national partisan swing before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$51,355End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Bobby Scott, first elected in 1993 and reelected with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces Republican Edwin Rivera in Virginia’s 3rd District on November 3, 2026. The Hampton Roads-based seat maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling it Solid or Safe Democratic and Scott’s unopposed primary advancement in August. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party near 95 percent aligns with the district’s consistent double-digit margins and limited Republican fundraising or visibility. A commanding lead could narrow only in the event of an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national partisan swing before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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