Therese Terlaje leads the Guam gubernatorial market at 68.5% implied probability because she secured the Democratic nomination in the August 1 primary with 47.8% of the vote, edging out Lt. Gov. Joshua Tenorio in a territory where Democrats have held the governorship for multiple cycles. Vicente Ada, who captured the Republican primary with 60.5%, trails at 31.5% amid Guam’s partisan alignment and the absence of an incumbent. A late-August candidate forum highlighted shared priorities on economic development, childcare costs, and healthcare, but produced no major shifts. With the November 3 general election still two months away, trader consensus reflects historical voting patterns and the nominees’ established legislative records rather than late-breaking events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Therese Terlaje (D)
69%
Vicente Ada (R)
32%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Therese Terlaje (D)
$1,068 Vol.
69%
Vicente Ada (R)
$448 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Therese Terlaje leads the Guam gubernatorial market at 68.5% implied probability because she secured the Democratic nomination in the August 1 primary with 47.8% of the vote, edging out Lt. Gov. Joshua Tenorio in a territory where Democrats have held the governorship for multiple cycles. Vicente Ada, who captured the Republican primary with 60.5%, trails at 31.5% amid Guam’s partisan alignment and the absence of an incumbent. A late-August candidate forum highlighted shared priorities on economic development, childcare costs, and healthcare, but produced no major shifts. With the November 3 general election still two months away, trader consensus reflects historical voting patterns and the nominees’ established legislative records rather than late-breaking events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,516End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Therese Terlaje leads the Guam gubernatorial market at 68.5% implied probability because she secured the Democratic nomination in the August 1 primary with 47.8% of the vote, edging out Lt. Gov. Joshua Tenorio in a territory where Democrats have held the governorship for multiple cycles. Vicente Ada, who captured the Republican primary with 60.5%, trails at 31.5% amid Guam’s partisan alignment and the absence of an incumbent. A late-August candidate forum highlighted shared priorities on economic development, childcare costs, and healthcare, but produced no major shifts. With the November 3 general election still two months away, trader consensus reflects historical voting patterns and the nominees’ established legislative records rather than late-breaking events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$1,516End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Therese Terlaje leads the Guam gubernatorial market at 68.5% implied probability because she secured the Democratic nomination in the August 1 primary with 47.8% of the vote, edging out Lt. Gov. Joshua Tenorio in a territory where Democrats have held the governorship for multiple cycles. Vicente Ada, who captured the Republican primary with 60.5%, trails at 31.5% amid Guam’s partisan alignment and the absence of an incumbent. A late-August candidate forum highlighted shared priorities on economic development, childcare costs, and healthcare, but produced no major shifts. With the November 3 general election still two months away, trader consensus reflects historical voting patterns and the nominees’ established legislative records rather than late-breaking events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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