Nicole Cannizzaro holds a strong position in the November 3, 2026, Nevada attorney general race following her June primary victory over state Treasurer Zach Conine, securing roughly 61 percent of the Democratic vote. As Senate majority leader with prior experience in the Clark County district attorney’s office, she benefits from high name recognition and substantial campaign resources in an open-seat contest created by term-limited incumbent Aaron Ford. Adriana Guzmán Fralick, who won the Republican nomination with about 60 percent after defeating Danny Tarkanian and receiving endorsements from President Trump and Governor Joe Lombardo, trails in trader pricing amid Nevada’s recent pattern of narrow statewide outcomes. The market’s implied probabilities align with the race’s Lean Democratic rating from forecasters, reflecting the nominees’ respective profiles and the state’s electoral environment two months before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Nicole Jeanette Cannizzaro (D)
77%

Adriana Guzmán Fralick (R)
20%

Nicole Jeanette Cannizzaro (D)
77%

Adriana Guzmán Fralick (R)
20%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Nicole Cannizzaro holds a strong position in the November 3, 2026, Nevada attorney general race following her June primary victory over state Treasurer Zach Conine, securing roughly 61 percent of the Democratic vote. As Senate majority leader with prior experience in the Clark County district attorney’s office, she benefits from high name recognition and substantial campaign resources in an open-seat contest created by term-limited incumbent Aaron Ford. Adriana Guzmán Fralick, who won the Republican nomination with about 60 percent after defeating Danny Tarkanian and receiving endorsements from President Trump and Governor Joe Lombardo, trails in trader pricing amid Nevada’s recent pattern of narrow statewide outcomes. The market’s implied probabilities align with the race’s Lean Democratic rating from forecasters, reflecting the nominees’ respective profiles and the state’s electoral environment two months before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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