Garlin Gilchrist holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race because the Democratic lieutenant governor secured his party's nomination at the August 2026 convention after incumbent Jocelyn Benson became term-limited and shifted to the gubernatorial contest. Gilchrist's statewide profile from service alongside Governor Gretchen Whitmer, combined with Michigan's recent Democratic performance in statewide contests, underpins trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, the Macomb County clerk selected at his party's convention, faces structural headwinds in a state where the opposing party has held the office. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts in voter turnout patterns, or unexpected economic or election-administration controversies could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMichigan Secretary of State Election Winner
Michigan Secretary of State Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Garlin Gilchrist (D)
94%
Anthony Forlini (R)
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Garlin Gilchrist (D)
$1,236 Vol.
94%
Anthony Forlini (R)
$663 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Garlin Gilchrist holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race because the Democratic lieutenant governor secured his party's nomination at the August 2026 convention after incumbent Jocelyn Benson became term-limited and shifted to the gubernatorial contest. Gilchrist's statewide profile from service alongside Governor Gretchen Whitmer, combined with Michigan's recent Democratic performance in statewide contests, underpins trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, the Macomb County clerk selected at his party's convention, faces structural headwinds in a state where the opposing party has held the office. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts in voter turnout patterns, or unexpected economic or election-administration controversies could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,900End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Garlin Gilchrist holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race because the Democratic lieutenant governor secured his party's nomination at the August 2026 convention after incumbent Jocelyn Benson became term-limited and shifted to the gubernatorial contest. Gilchrist's statewide profile from service alongside Governor Gretchen Whitmer, combined with Michigan's recent Democratic performance in statewide contests, underpins trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, the Macomb County clerk selected at his party's convention, faces structural headwinds in a state where the opposing party has held the office. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts in voter turnout patterns, or unexpected economic or election-administration controversies could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$1,900End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Garlin Gilchrist holds a commanding 92.5% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race because the Democratic lieutenant governor secured his party's nomination at the August 2026 convention after incumbent Jocelyn Benson became term-limited and shifted to the gubernatorial contest. Gilchrist's statewide profile from service alongside Governor Gretchen Whitmer, combined with Michigan's recent Democratic performance in statewide contests, underpins trader consensus ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee Anthony Forlini, the Macomb County clerk selected at his party's convention, faces structural headwinds in a state where the opposing party has held the office. Late developments such as major scandals, sharp shifts in voter turnout patterns, or unexpected economic or election-administration controversies could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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