**Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election is days away, with early voting already underway.** The contest pits the incumbent right-wing Tidö bloc (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, supported by the Sweden Democrats) against the centre-left opposition (Social Democrats, Left Party, Greens, Centre Party). A Novus poll released 7 September showed the centre-left bloc at 50.3% and the right-wing bloc at 47.9%, a narrow margin after earlier opposition leads of 7–10 points. The Liberals rose to 4.3%, clearing the 4% threshold needed for seats and easing coalition concerns over lost parliamentary representation. Campaign focus has centred on crime, immigration and integration, cost of living, energy security, and Sweden’s recent NATO membership. The Sweden Democrats have signalled they expect cabinet posts if the right retains a majority. Polls indicate both blocs remain close to or below the 175-seat majority mark, with the Centre Party’s position potentially decisive in post-election negotiations. Final vote counting begins on election night, with preliminary results expected shortly thereafter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Christian Democrats (KD)
97%

Left Party (V)
97%

Centre Party (C)
96%

Green Party (MP)
96%
$753 Vol.

Christian Democrats (KD)
97%

Left Party (V)
97%

Centre Party (C)
96%

Green Party (MP)
96%
Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No".
Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No".
Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Each market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified party receives at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise that market will resolve to "No".
Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to "No".
Each market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Sweden’s 13 September 2026 Riksdag election is days away, with early voting already underway.** The contest pits the incumbent right-wing Tidö bloc (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, supported by the Sweden Democrats) against the centre-left opposition (Social Democrats, Left Party, Greens, Centre Party). A Novus poll released 7 September showed the centre-left bloc at 50.3% and the right-wing bloc at 47.9%, a narrow margin after earlier opposition leads of 7–10 points. The Liberals rose to 4.3%, clearing the 4% threshold needed for seats and easing coalition concerns over lost parliamentary representation. Campaign focus has centred on crime, immigration and integration, cost of living, energy security, and Sweden’s recent NATO membership. The Sweden Democrats have signalled they expect cabinet posts if the right retains a majority. Polls indicate both blocs remain close to or below the 175-seat majority mark, with the Centre Party’s position potentially decisive in post-election negotiations. Final vote counting begins on election night, with preliminary results expected shortly thereafter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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