Dan Patrick holds a strong position in the Texas lieutenant governor race as the three-term Republican incumbent seeking a fourth term on November 3, 2026. Traders assign him the highest probability due to his decisive primary victory, established Senate leadership role, and Texas's consistent Republican lean in statewide contests. Recent August polls show Patrick leading Democratic nominee Vikki Goodwin by margins of 4–7 points among likely voters, reflecting her limited statewide profile after winning the Democratic runoff in May. Minor-party candidates including the Libertarian and Green nominees factor into multi-outcome pricing but remain marginal. The market reflects trader assessments of historical voting patterns and the absence of major late-breaking shifts since the primaries and ballot certification in late August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Dan Patrick (R)
76%

Vikki Goodwin (D)
25%

Dan Patrick (R)
76%

Vikki Goodwin (D)
25%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Dan Patrick holds a strong position in the Texas lieutenant governor race as the three-term Republican incumbent seeking a fourth term on November 3, 2026. Traders assign him the highest probability due to his decisive primary victory, established Senate leadership role, and Texas's consistent Republican lean in statewide contests. Recent August polls show Patrick leading Democratic nominee Vikki Goodwin by margins of 4–7 points among likely voters, reflecting her limited statewide profile after winning the Democratic runoff in May. Minor-party candidates including the Libertarian and Green nominees factor into multi-outcome pricing but remain marginal. The market reflects trader assessments of historical voting patterns and the absence of major late-breaking shifts since the primaries and ballot certification in late August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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