JoCasta Zamarripa secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 99% of the vote after the incumbent declined to seek re-election and other potential candidates withdrew. Jay Schroeder emerged from a competitive Republican primary with 47% as the nominee. The open seat on the November 3 general election ballot has produced trader consensus favoring Zamarripa at a 73% implied probability, reflecting Wisconsin's recent statewide voting patterns and the structural advantages of Democratic performance in low-profile constitutional offices. Schroeder's 28% reflects Republican efforts to consolidate support around election administration themes. The presence of a Green Party candidate adds a minor vote-share factor but has not shifted the primary contest dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
JoCasta Zamarripa (D)
74%
Jay Schroeder (R)
28%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
JoCasta Zamarripa (D)
$362 Vol.
74%
Jay Schroeder (R)
$41 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.JoCasta Zamarripa secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 99% of the vote after the incumbent declined to seek re-election and other potential candidates withdrew. Jay Schroeder emerged from a competitive Republican primary with 47% as the nominee. The open seat on the November 3 general election ballot has produced trader consensus favoring Zamarripa at a 73% implied probability, reflecting Wisconsin's recent statewide voting patterns and the structural advantages of Democratic performance in low-profile constitutional offices. Schroeder's 28% reflects Republican efforts to consolidate support around election administration themes. The presence of a Green Party candidate adds a minor vote-share factor but has not shifted the primary contest dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Volume
$403End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.JoCasta Zamarripa secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 99% of the vote after the incumbent declined to seek re-election and other potential candidates withdrew. Jay Schroeder emerged from a competitive Republican primary with 47% as the nominee. The open seat on the November 3 general election ballot has produced trader consensus favoring Zamarripa at a 73% implied probability, reflecting Wisconsin's recent statewide voting patterns and the structural advantages of Democratic performance in low-profile constitutional offices. Schroeder's 28% reflects Republican efforts to consolidate support around election administration themes. The presence of a Green Party candidate adds a minor vote-share factor but has not shifted the primary contest dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$403End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...JoCasta Zamarripa secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 99% of the vote after the incumbent declined to seek re-election and other potential candidates withdrew. Jay Schroeder emerged from a competitive Republican primary with 47% as the nominee. The open seat on the November 3 general election ballot has produced trader consensus favoring Zamarripa at a 73% implied probability, reflecting Wisconsin's recent statewide voting patterns and the structural advantages of Democratic performance in low-profile constitutional offices. Schroeder's 28% reflects Republican efforts to consolidate support around election administration themes. The presence of a Green Party candidate adds a minor vote-share factor but has not shifted the primary contest dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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