Official forecasts and real-time observations confirm a daily maximum near 19°C in Warsaw today, driven by moderate westerly flow, patchy cloud cover, and limited solar heating under a stable airmass. Multiple meteorological sources report highs of 19°C with afternoon readings around 18°C and light precipitation risk, aligning with climatological August norms for the region rather than anomalous warmth. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 19°C reflects this convergence of model guidance and station data, with negligible odds for deviations. An unexpected clear-sky surge or measurement revision at the official Warsaw station could theoretically alter the recorded high, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 23?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 23?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,088 Vol.
$28,088 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,088 Vol.
$28,088 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$474 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$283 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$937 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,668 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,718 Vol.
100%
20°C
$4,725 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,419 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,340 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$569 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and real-time observations confirm a daily maximum near 19°C in Warsaw today, driven by moderate westerly flow, patchy cloud cover, and limited solar heating under a stable airmass. Multiple meteorological sources report highs of 19°C with afternoon readings around 18°C and light precipitation risk, aligning with climatological August norms for the region rather than anomalous warmth. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 19°C reflects this convergence of model guidance and station data, with negligible odds for deviations. An unexpected clear-sky surge or measurement revision at the official Warsaw station could theoretically alter the recorded high, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable before midnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$28,088End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and real-time observations confirm a daily maximum near 19°C in Warsaw today, driven by moderate westerly flow, patchy cloud cover, and limited solar heating under a stable airmass. Multiple meteorological sources report highs of 19°C with afternoon readings around 18°C and light precipitation risk, aligning with climatological August norms for the region rather than anomalous warmth. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 19°C reflects this convergence of model guidance and station data, with negligible odds for deviations. An unexpected clear-sky surge or measurement revision at the official Warsaw station could theoretically alter the recorded high, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable before midnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,088End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts and real-time observations confirm a daily maximum near 19°C in Warsaw today, driven by moderate westerly flow, patchy cloud cover, and limited solar heating under a stable airmass. Multiple meteorological sources report highs of 19°C with afternoon readings around 18°C and light precipitation risk, aligning with climatological August norms for the region rather than anomalous warmth. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for 19°C reflects this convergence of model guidance and station data, with negligible odds for deviations. An unexpected clear-sky surge or measurement revision at the official Warsaw station could theoretically alter the recorded high, though current conditions make such shifts highly improbable before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions