Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on August 24 most likely between 19°C and 20°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. A prevailing northwesterly flow of cooler Atlantic air, combined with increased cloud cover and possible light showers, is suppressing daytime maxima below the seasonal August average of roughly 23°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential, with surface observations confirming recent cooling trends and stable pressure patterns limiting convective heating. Minor model spread on exact timing of any clearing introduces the primary uncertainty between the two leading buckets, with official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 24?
19°C 42%
20°C 32%
18°C 15%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
15%
19°C
42%
20°C
32%
21°C
8%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 42%
20°C 32%
18°C 15%
21°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$209 Vol.
1%
17°C
$353 Vol.
4%
18°C
$687 Vol.
15%
19°C
$528 Vol.
42%
20°C
$1,681 Vol.
32%
21°C
$568 Vol.
8%
22°C
$199 Vol.
1%
23°C
$256 Vol.
1%
24°C
$396 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$414 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on August 24 most likely between 19°C and 20°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. A prevailing northwesterly flow of cooler Atlantic air, combined with increased cloud cover and possible light showers, is suppressing daytime maxima below the seasonal August average of roughly 23°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential, with surface observations confirming recent cooling trends and stable pressure patterns limiting convective heating. Minor model spread on exact timing of any clearing introduces the primary uncertainty between the two leading buckets, with official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,552End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on August 24 most likely between 19°C and 20°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. A prevailing northwesterly flow of cooler Atlantic air, combined with increased cloud cover and possible light showers, is suppressing daytime maxima below the seasonal August average of roughly 23°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential, with surface observations confirming recent cooling trends and stable pressure patterns limiting convective heating. Minor model spread on exact timing of any clearing introduces the primary uncertainty between the two leading buckets, with official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,552End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Warsaw on August 24 most likely between 19°C and 20°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. A prevailing northwesterly flow of cooler Atlantic air, combined with increased cloud cover and possible light showers, is suppressing daytime maxima below the seasonal August average of roughly 23°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential, with surface observations confirming recent cooling trends and stable pressure patterns limiting convective heating. Minor model spread on exact timing of any clearing introduces the primary uncertainty between the two leading buckets, with official updates from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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