Latest numerical weather prediction runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF show high pressure dominating over central Europe, with clear skies and light northerly to easterly winds of 1–4 m/s expected overnight into August 25. These conditions promote strong radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover, supporting minimum 2-meter temperatures clustered around 10–12 °C in Warsaw. Dew points near 10 °C and urban heat retention limit further drops, while minor ensemble spread arises from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and any residual low-level moisture. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima near 12–14 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest cool anomaly. Updated model cycles and official briefings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine the exact low ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
10°C 30%
11°C 27%
12°C 25%
9°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
6°C or below
3%
7°C
7%
8°C
13%
9°C
20%
10°C
30%
11°C
27%
12°C
25%
13°C
11%
14°C
10%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
1%
10°C 30%
11°C 27%
12°C 25%
9°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
6°C or below
$141 Vol.
3%
7°C
$256 Vol.
7%
8°C
$0 Vol.
13%
9°C
$0 Vol.
20%
10°C
$0 Vol.
30%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$10 Vol.
10%
15°C
$105 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$135 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF show high pressure dominating over central Europe, with clear skies and light northerly to easterly winds of 1–4 m/s expected overnight into August 25. These conditions promote strong radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover, supporting minimum 2-meter temperatures clustered around 10–12 °C in Warsaw. Dew points near 10 °C and urban heat retention limit further drops, while minor ensemble spread arises from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and any residual low-level moisture. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima near 12–14 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest cool anomaly. Updated model cycles and official briefings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine the exact low ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$647End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF show high pressure dominating over central Europe, with clear skies and light northerly to easterly winds of 1–4 m/s expected overnight into August 25. These conditions promote strong radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover, supporting minimum 2-meter temperatures clustered around 10–12 °C in Warsaw. Dew points near 10 °C and urban heat retention limit further drops, while minor ensemble spread arises from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and any residual low-level moisture. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima near 12–14 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest cool anomaly. Updated model cycles and official briefings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine the exact low ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$647End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF show high pressure dominating over central Europe, with clear skies and light northerly to easterly winds of 1–4 m/s expected overnight into August 25. These conditions promote strong radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover, supporting minimum 2-meter temperatures clustered around 10–12 °C in Warsaw. Dew points near 10 °C and urban heat retention limit further drops, while minor ensemble spread arises from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing and any residual low-level moisture. Historical late-August climatology for the city places typical minima near 12–14 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest cool anomaly. Updated model cycles and official briefings from the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine the exact low ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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