Recent FOMC meetings have featured multiple dissents amid persistent inflation near or above 3% and mixed labor-market signals, with votes often splitting 9-3 on holds as some members favor hikes while others prefer cuts. Under new Chair Kevin Warsh, markets have shifted toward pricing higher-for-longer policy, with futures implying the fed funds rate near 4% by mid-2027. This environment creates substantial uncertainty for the January 2027 meeting, where the number of dissents will hinge on intervening inflation prints, employment data, and any revisions to the committee's rate path. The tight distribution across zero to four-plus dissents captures divergent views on how unified the panel will remain given these competing pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
3 25%
2 20%
1 20%
0 19%
NEW
NEW
Jan 27, 2027
0
19%
1
20%
2
20%
3
25%
4+
15%
3 25%
2 20%
1 20%
0 19%
NEW
NEW
Jan 27, 2027
0
$1,253 Vol.
19%
1
$508 Vol.
20%
2
$338 Vol.
20%
3
$6,279 Vol.
25%
4+
$498 Vol.
15%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have featured multiple dissents amid persistent inflation near or above 3% and mixed labor-market signals, with votes often splitting 9-3 on holds as some members favor hikes while others prefer cuts. Under new Chair Kevin Warsh, markets have shifted toward pricing higher-for-longer policy, with futures implying the fed funds rate near 4% by mid-2027. This environment creates substantial uncertainty for the January 2027 meeting, where the number of dissents will hinge on intervening inflation prints, employment data, and any revisions to the committee's rate path. The tight distribution across zero to four-plus dissents captures divergent views on how unified the panel will remain given these competing pressures.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$8,876End Date
Jan 27, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have featured multiple dissents amid persistent inflation near or above 3% and mixed labor-market signals, with votes often splitting 9-3 on holds as some members favor hikes while others prefer cuts. Under new Chair Kevin Warsh, markets have shifted toward pricing higher-for-longer policy, with futures implying the fed funds rate near 4% by mid-2027. This environment creates substantial uncertainty for the January 2027 meeting, where the number of dissents will hinge on intervening inflation prints, employment data, and any revisions to the committee's rate path. The tight distribution across zero to four-plus dissents captures divergent views on how unified the panel will remain given these competing pressures.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,876End Date
Jan 27, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings have featured multiple dissents amid persistent inflation near or above 3% and mixed labor-market signals, with votes often splitting 9-3 on holds as some members favor hikes while others prefer cuts. Under new Chair Kevin Warsh, markets have shifted toward pricing higher-for-longer policy, with futures implying the fed funds rate near 4% by mid-2027. This environment creates substantial uncertainty for the January 2027 meeting, where the number of dissents will hinge on intervening inflation prints, employment data, and any revisions to the committee's rate path. The tight distribution across zero to four-plus dissents captures divergent views on how unified the panel will remain given these competing pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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