South Carolina’s seven congressional districts remain structurally tilted toward Republicans under the current map, with Democrats holding one safely Democratic seat and facing six Republican-leaning districts. An open race in the 1st district after Nancy Mace’s retirement has drawn Democratic interest, yet recent primary results and statewide voting patterns continue to favor Republican retention there. Limited redistricting changes and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or turnout models have kept expectations for additional Democratic gains low. Trader consensus therefore centers on Democrats securing exactly one seat, with smaller probabilities assigned to two or more only if national conditions produce an unusually strong Democratic performance in November 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
How many House seats will the Democrats win in South Carolina?
1 73%
2 21%
3+ 7.6%
0 <1%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
0
1%
1
73%
2
21%
3+
8%
1 73%
2 21%
3+ 7.6%
0 <1%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
0
$473 Vol.
1%
1
$1,565 Vol.
73%
2
$1,345 Vol.
21%
3+
$531 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.South Carolina’s seven congressional districts remain structurally tilted toward Republicans under the current map, with Democrats holding one safely Democratic seat and facing six Republican-leaning districts. An open race in the 1st district after Nancy Mace’s retirement has drawn Democratic interest, yet recent primary results and statewide voting patterns continue to favor Republican retention there. Limited redistricting changes and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or turnout models have kept expectations for additional Democratic gains low. Trader consensus therefore centers on Democrats securing exactly one seat, with smaller probabilities assigned to two or more only if national conditions produce an unusually strong Democratic performance in November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,914End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.South Carolina’s seven congressional districts remain structurally tilted toward Republicans under the current map, with Democrats holding one safely Democratic seat and facing six Republican-leaning districts. An open race in the 1st district after Nancy Mace’s retirement has drawn Democratic interest, yet recent primary results and statewide voting patterns continue to favor Republican retention there. Limited redistricting changes and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or turnout models have kept expectations for additional Democratic gains low. Trader consensus therefore centers on Democrats securing exactly one seat, with smaller probabilities assigned to two or more only if national conditions produce an unusually strong Democratic performance in November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in South Carolina in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All South Carolina US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$3,914End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 10:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Carolina’s seven congressional districts remain structurally tilted toward Republicans under the current map, with Democrats holding one safely Democratic seat and facing six Republican-leaning districts. An open race in the 1st district after Nancy Mace’s retirement has drawn Democratic interest, yet recent primary results and statewide voting patterns continue to favor Republican retention there. Limited redistricting changes and the absence of major shifts in voter registration or turnout models have kept expectations for additional Democratic gains low. Trader consensus therefore centers on Democrats securing exactly one seat, with smaller probabilities assigned to two or more only if national conditions produce an unusually strong Democratic performance in November 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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