Fishback's positioning in the low double digits stems from his third-place finish in the August 18, 2026, Republican primary, where unofficial tallies showed him at approximately 10.5 percent behind Byron Donalds and Jay Collins. As a late-announcing challenger with limited statewide name recognition and modest campaign resources, he drew support mainly from younger voters and online niches but failed to expand beyond that base in a field featuring higher-profile contenders backed by major endorsements. The crowded primary and Donalds' consistent polling lead above 40 percent further capped Fishback's share. Official certification or minor recount adjustments remain the primary variables that could still shift the final certified percentage within or outside the 10-15 percent bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJames Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
James Fishback vote share in 2026 Florida Republican Governor Primary?
Fishback 10–15% 99.0%
Fishback 25–30% <1%
Fishback 30%+ <1%
Fishback <10% <1%
$342,554 Vol.
$342,554 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Fishback <10%
<1%
Fishback 10–15%
99%
Fishback 15–20%
<1%
Fishback 20–25%
<1%
Fishback 25–30%
1%
Fishback 30%+
<1%
Fishback 10–15% 99.0%
Fishback 25–30% <1%
Fishback 30%+ <1%
Fishback <10% <1%
$342,554 Vol.
$342,554 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Fishback <10%
$249,656 Vol.
<1%
Fishback 10–15%
$24,437 Vol.
99%
Fishback 15–20%
$13,529 Vol.
<1%
Fishback 20–25%
$17,331 Vol.
<1%
Fishback 25–30%
$10,466 Vol.
1%
Fishback 30%+
$27,134 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Fishback's positioning in the low double digits stems from his third-place finish in the August 18, 2026, Republican primary, where unofficial tallies showed him at approximately 10.5 percent behind Byron Donalds and Jay Collins. As a late-announcing challenger with limited statewide name recognition and modest campaign resources, he drew support mainly from younger voters and online niches but failed to expand beyond that base in a field featuring higher-profile contenders backed by major endorsements. The crowded primary and Donalds' consistent polling lead above 40 percent further capped Fishback's share. Official certification or minor recount adjustments remain the primary variables that could still shift the final certified percentage within or outside the 10-15 percent bracket.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Volume
$342,554End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Fishback's positioning in the low double digits stems from his third-place finish in the August 18, 2026, Republican primary, where unofficial tallies showed him at approximately 10.5 percent behind Byron Donalds and Jay Collins. As a late-announcing challenger with limited statewide name recognition and modest campaign resources, he drew support mainly from younger voters and online niches but failed to expand beyond that base in a field featuring higher-profile contenders backed by major endorsements. The crowded primary and Donalds' consistent polling lead above 40 percent further capped Fishback's share. Official certification or minor recount adjustments remain the primary variables that could still shift the final certified percentage within or outside the 10-15 percent bracket.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes James Fishback wins in the 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$342,554End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fishback's positioning in the low double digits stems from his third-place finish in the August 18, 2026, Republican primary, where unofficial tallies showed him at approximately 10.5 percent behind Byron Donalds and Jay Collins. As a late-announcing challenger with limited statewide name recognition and modest campaign resources, he drew support mainly from younger voters and online niches but failed to expand beyond that base in a field featuring higher-profile contenders backed by major endorsements. The crowded primary and Donalds' consistent polling lead above 40 percent further capped Fishback's share. Official certification or minor recount adjustments remain the primary variables that could still shift the final certified percentage within or outside the 10-15 percent bracket.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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