Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 48% of the vote, well ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and other challengers including James Fishback and Paul Renner. Trump’s early endorsement, combined with Donalds’ dominant fundraising—nearly $100 million through affiliated committees—and consistent double-digit leads in polling, consolidated support among party voters and establishment figures. DeSantis remained neutral amid tensions between his lieutenant governor and Trump’s preferred candidate. With the primary concluded and results certified, trader focus on Donalds’ exact vote share centers on turnout patterns, the impact of the crowded field, and any final tabulation adjustments in the days following election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2,089 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
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100%
≥40%
98%
≥45%
98%
≥50%
3%
≥55%
<1%
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1%
≥65%
1%
≥75%
48%
≥85%
5%
$2,089 Vol.
≥30%
$879 Vol.
100%
≥40%
$84 Vol.
98%
≥45%
$102 Vol.
98%
≥50%
$350 Vol.
3%
≥55%
$0 Vol.
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$78 Vol.
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≥65%
$157 Vol.
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≥75%
$205 Vol.
48%
≥85%
$233 Vol.
5%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 48% of the vote, well ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and other challengers including James Fishback and Paul Renner. Trump’s early endorsement, combined with Donalds’ dominant fundraising—nearly $100 million through affiliated committees—and consistent double-digit leads in polling, consolidated support among party voters and establishment figures. DeSantis remained neutral amid tensions between his lieutenant governor and Trump’s preferred candidate. With the primary concluded and results certified, trader focus on Donalds’ exact vote share centers on turnout patterns, the impact of the crowded field, and any final tabulation adjustments in the days following election night.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Volume
$2,089End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 48% of the vote, well ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and other challengers including James Fishback and Paul Renner. Trump’s early endorsement, combined with Donalds’ dominant fundraising—nearly $100 million through affiliated committees—and consistent double-digit leads in polling, consolidated support among party voters and establishment figures. DeSantis remained neutral amid tensions between his lieutenant governor and Trump’s preferred candidate. With the primary concluded and results certified, trader focus on Donalds’ exact vote share centers on turnout patterns, the impact of the crowded field, and any final tabulation adjustments in the days following election night.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$2,089End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with roughly 48% of the vote, well ahead of Lt. Gov. Jay Collins at 25% and other challengers including James Fishback and Paul Renner. Trump’s early endorsement, combined with Donalds’ dominant fundraising—nearly $100 million through affiliated committees—and consistent double-digit leads in polling, consolidated support among party voters and establishment figures. DeSantis remained neutral amid tensions between his lieutenant governor and Trump’s preferred candidate. With the primary concluded and results certified, trader focus on Donalds’ exact vote share centers on turnout patterns, the impact of the crowded field, and any final tabulation adjustments in the days following election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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