The @khamenei_ir account, now operating as an archival channel for statements and commemorations tied to the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has followed a consistent low-volume pattern since early 2026, averaging well below five posts per week across recent windows. This established rhythm, centered on selective official releases and images rather than frequent updates, underpins the market's 94% consensus on the under-five bracket for August 18-25. Similar prior intervals resolved in the same range absent major triggers. Activity could rise if sudden regional security events, diplomatic summits, or policy announcements require expanded messaging within the period, though such developments remain outside the current baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
<5 95%
5-9 3.0%
10-14 1.4%
15-19 <1%
$16,036 Vol.
$16,036 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
<5
95%
5-9
3%
10-14
1%
15-19
1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 95%
5-9 3.0%
10-14 1.4%
15-19 <1%
$16,036 Vol.
$16,036 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
<5
$5,899 Vol.
95%
5-9
$2,534 Vol.
3%
10-14
$1,133 Vol.
1%
15-19
$1,247 Vol.
1%
20-24
$805 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$805 Vol.
1%
30-34
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$371 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$233 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$397 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$440 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$449 Vol.
<1%
60+
$470 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, now operating as an archival channel for statements and commemorations tied to the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has followed a consistent low-volume pattern since early 2026, averaging well below five posts per week across recent windows. This established rhythm, centered on selective official releases and images rather than frequent updates, underpins the market's 94% consensus on the under-five bracket for August 18-25. Similar prior intervals resolved in the same range absent major triggers. Activity could rise if sudden regional security events, diplomatic summits, or policy announcements require expanded messaging within the period, though such developments remain outside the current baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$16,036End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account, now operating as an archival channel for statements and commemorations tied to the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has followed a consistent low-volume pattern since early 2026, averaging well below five posts per week across recent windows. This established rhythm, centered on selective official releases and images rather than frequent updates, underpins the market's 94% consensus on the under-five bracket for August 18-25. Similar prior intervals resolved in the same range absent major triggers. Activity could rise if sudden regional security events, diplomatic summits, or policy announcements require expanded messaging within the period, though such developments remain outside the current baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$16,036End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account, now operating as an archival channel for statements and commemorations tied to the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has followed a consistent low-volume pattern since early 2026, averaging well below five posts per week across recent windows. This established rhythm, centered on selective official releases and images rather than frequent updates, underpins the market's 94% consensus on the under-five bracket for August 18-25. Similar prior intervals resolved in the same range absent major triggers. Activity could rise if sudden regional security events, diplomatic summits, or policy announcements require expanded messaging within the period, though such developments remain outside the current baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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