Official accounts tied to Iran's supreme leadership, including those linked to the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and successor Mojtaba Khamenei, typically issue statements or posts on major religious, political, or commemorative occasions rather than on a daily schedule. Activity in mid-to-late August 2026 has centered on memorial events for the martyred leader, with limited output from core handles such as @khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir outside those dates. Traders price the <5 bucket at 87% because historical patterns and the absence of scheduled high-profile announcements point to sporadic rather than sustained posting during the resolution window. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the past week have triggered additional statements, reinforcing the market's expectation of restrained volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
<5 87%
5-9 11%
10-14 1.6%
15-19 <1%
<5
87%
5-9
11%
10-14
2%
15-19
1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 87%
5-9 11%
10-14 1.6%
15-19 <1%
<5
87%
5-9
11%
10-14
2%
15-19
1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official accounts tied to Iran's supreme leadership, including those linked to the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and successor Mojtaba Khamenei, typically issue statements or posts on major religious, political, or commemorative occasions rather than on a daily schedule. Activity in mid-to-late August 2026 has centered on memorial events for the martyred leader, with limited output from core handles such as @khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir outside those dates. Traders price the <5 bucket at 87% because historical patterns and the absence of scheduled high-profile announcements point to sporadic rather than sustained posting during the resolution window. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic developments in the past week have triggered additional statements, reinforcing the market's expectation of restrained volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions