Iran’s supreme leadership maintains a low-volume presence on X, with official accounts including those linked to Mojtaba Khamenei posting infrequently and primarily through measured, event-driven statements rather than routine updates. Trader consensus for under five posts in the August 28–September 4 window aligns with this pattern, reinforced by the absence of scheduled diplomatic summits, military escalations, or domestic milestones that typically prompt additional output. Recent commemorative activity around mid-August 40th-day observances for the late leader has not carried forward into sustained volume, while separate media channels continue handling routine dissemination. No major catalysts appear on the immediate horizon that would alter the baseline rate observed in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 28 - September 4, 2026?
<5 81%
5-9 11%
25-29 6.6%
20-24 5.9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<5
81%
5-9
11%
10-14
9%
15-19
1%
20-24
6%
25-29
7%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 81%
5-9 11%
25-29 6.6%
20-24 5.9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<5
$952 Vol.
81%
5-9
$309 Vol.
11%
10-14
$134 Vol.
9%
15-19
$115 Vol.
1%
20-24
$115 Vol.
6%
25-29
$115 Vol.
7%
30-34
$115 Vol.
1%
35-39
$120 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$84 Vol.
1%
45-49
$84 Vol.
1%
50-54
$89 Vol.
1%
55-59
$89 Vol.
1%
60+
$65 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s supreme leadership maintains a low-volume presence on X, with official accounts including those linked to Mojtaba Khamenei posting infrequently and primarily through measured, event-driven statements rather than routine updates. Trader consensus for under five posts in the August 28–September 4 window aligns with this pattern, reinforced by the absence of scheduled diplomatic summits, military escalations, or domestic milestones that typically prompt additional output. Recent commemorative activity around mid-August 40th-day observances for the late leader has not carried forward into sustained volume, while separate media channels continue handling routine dissemination. No major catalysts appear on the immediate horizon that would alter the baseline rate observed in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$2,388End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran’s supreme leadership maintains a low-volume presence on X, with official accounts including those linked to Mojtaba Khamenei posting infrequently and primarily through measured, event-driven statements rather than routine updates. Trader consensus for under five posts in the August 28–September 4 window aligns with this pattern, reinforced by the absence of scheduled diplomatic summits, military escalations, or domestic milestones that typically prompt additional output. Recent commemorative activity around mid-August 40th-day observances for the late leader has not carried forward into sustained volume, while separate media channels continue handling routine dissemination. No major catalysts appear on the immediate horizon that would alter the baseline rate observed in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,388End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran’s supreme leadership maintains a low-volume presence on X, with official accounts including those linked to Mojtaba Khamenei posting infrequently and primarily through measured, event-driven statements rather than routine updates. Trader consensus for under five posts in the August 28–September 4 window aligns with this pattern, reinforced by the absence of scheduled diplomatic summits, military escalations, or domestic milestones that typically prompt additional output. Recent commemorative activity around mid-August 40th-day observances for the late leader has not carried forward into sustained volume, while separate media channels continue handling routine dissemination. No major catalysts appear on the immediate horizon that would alter the baseline rate observed in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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