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icon for Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

icon for Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

70% chance
Polymarket
NEW
70% chance
Polymarket
NEW
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/). **Maryland Question 3, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment, cleared its final legal hurdle on September 3, 2026, when the state Supreme Court reversed a lower-court ruling and placed it on the November 3 ballot.** The measure clarifies that existing state constitutional standards for compactness, contiguity, equal population, and natural boundaries apply only to state legislative districts, not congressional ones, while authorizing the General Assembly to grant the Supreme Court original jurisdiction over congressional redistricting challenges. Democratic majorities in both chambers passed it during an August special session (House 96-38, Senate 32-13), with Governor Wes Moore’s support, in response to national redistricting dynamics. The amendment does not enact a new map but removes state-level barriers that previously blocked mid-decade congressional changes. In a state where Democrats already hold seven of eight U.S. House seats, the ballot language and institutional backing create a strong path to voter approval, producing the current trader consensus reflected in the 70% Yes price. No major opposing polling or organized campaign developments have emerged since the court decision.

Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/). **Maryland Question 3, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment, cleared its final legal hurdle on September 3, 2026, when the state Supreme Court reversed a lower-court ruling and placed it on the November 3 ballot.** The measure clarifies that existing state constitutional standards for compactness, contiguity, equal population, and natural boundaries apply only to state legislative districts, not congressional ones, while authorizing the General Assembly to grant the Supreme Court original jurisdiction over congressional redistricting challenges. Democratic majorities in both chambers passed it during an August special session (House 96-38, Senate 32-13), with Governor Wes Moore’s support, in response to national redistricting dynamics. The amendment does not enact a new map but removes state-level barriers that previously blocked mid-decade congressional changes. In a state where Democrats already hold seven of eight U.S. House seats, the ballot language and institutional backing create a strong path to voter approval, producing the current trader consensus reflected in the 70% Yes price. No major opposing polling or organized campaign developments have emerged since the court decision.

Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 70% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 70¢, the market collectively assigns a 70% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?" is 70% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 70% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.