Florida's proposed Amendment 3, which would raise homestead exemptions on non-school property taxes to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028 while adding assessment and spending limits, cleared the legislature in a June 2026 special session but faces a 60 percent supermajority requirement on the November 3 ballot. An early August court ruling found the ballot title and summary misleading, ordering a rewrite amid ongoing litigation. Polling from late June showed 64 percent overall support with sharp partisan gaps—strong among Republicans but far weaker among Democrats—while opponents highlight risks to local funding for public safety, schools, and infrastructure. These factors, combined with the high threshold and unresolved legal issues, underpin traders' consensus that passage is unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?
28% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
28% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/). Florida's proposed Amendment 3, which would raise homestead exemptions on non-school property taxes to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028 while adding assessment and spending limits, cleared the legislature in a June 2026 special session but faces a 60 percent supermajority requirement on the November 3 ballot. An early August court ruling found the ballot title and summary misleading, ordering a rewrite amid ongoing litigation. Polling from late June showed 64 percent overall support with sharp partisan gaps—strong among Republicans but far weaker among Democrats—while opponents highlight risks to local funding for public safety, schools, and infrastructure. These factors, combined with the high threshold and unresolved legal issues, underpin traders' consensus that passage is unlikely.
Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$1,131End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/). Florida's proposed Amendment 3, which would raise homestead exemptions on non-school property taxes to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028 while adding assessment and spending limits, cleared the legislature in a June 2026 special session but faces a 60 percent supermajority requirement on the November 3 ballot. An early August court ruling found the ballot title and summary misleading, ordering a rewrite amid ongoing litigation. Polling from late June showed 64 percent overall support with sharp partisan gaps—strong among Republicans but far weaker among Democrats—while opponents highlight risks to local funding for public safety, schools, and infrastructure. These factors, combined with the high threshold and unresolved legal issues, underpin traders' consensus that passage is unlikely.
Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).
Volume
$1,131End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Florida's proposed Amendment 3, which would raise homestead exemptions on non-school property taxes to $150,000 in 2027 and $250,000 in 2028 while adding assessment and spending limits, cleared the legislature in a June 2026 special session but faces a 60 percent supermajority requirement on the November 3 ballot. An early August court ruling found the ballot title and summary misleading, ordering a rewrite amid ongoing litigation. Polling from late June showed 64 percent overall support with sharp partisan gaps—strong among Republicans but far weaker among Democrats—while opponents highlight risks to local funding for public safety, schools, and infrastructure. These factors, combined with the high threshold and unresolved legal issues, underpin traders' consensus that passage is unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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