The open seat created by Democrat Angie Craig's retirement to run for Senate has produced a Democratic nominee, state Sen. Matt Little, who secured the nomination decisively in the August 11 primary. Minnesota's 2nd district carries a D+3 partisan voter index and suburban Twin Cities demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the contest as Likely Democratic, with forecasts projecting a comfortable margin for the nominee over Republican Eric Pratt. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major recent shifts. A national Republican surge in the midterms, late polling movement, or candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMN-02 House Election Winner
MN-02 House Election Winner
$22,109 Vol.
$22,109 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$22,109 Vol.
$22,109 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,465 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$13,644 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Democrat Angie Craig's retirement to run for Senate has produced a Democratic nominee, state Sen. Matt Little, who secured the nomination decisively in the August 11 primary. Minnesota's 2nd district carries a D+3 partisan voter index and suburban Twin Cities demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the contest as Likely Democratic, with forecasts projecting a comfortable margin for the nominee over Republican Eric Pratt. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major recent shifts. A national Republican surge in the midterms, late polling movement, or candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$22,109End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Democrat Angie Craig's retirement to run for Senate has produced a Democratic nominee, state Sen. Matt Little, who secured the nomination decisively in the August 11 primary. Minnesota's 2nd district carries a D+3 partisan voter index and suburban Twin Cities demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the contest as Likely Democratic, with forecasts projecting a comfortable margin for the nominee over Republican Eric Pratt. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major recent shifts. A national Republican surge in the midterms, late polling movement, or candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,109End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Democrat Angie Craig's retirement to run for Senate has produced a Democratic nominee, state Sen. Matt Little, who secured the nomination decisively in the August 11 primary. Minnesota's 2nd district carries a D+3 partisan voter index and suburban Twin Cities demographics that have favored Democrats in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the contest as Likely Democratic, with forecasts projecting a comfortable margin for the nominee over Republican Eric Pratt. Trader consensus at 91.5% for Democrats reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major recent shifts. A national Republican surge in the midterms, late polling movement, or candidate-specific developments could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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