**Mitch McConnell has not voted in the Senate since June 11, 2026, following hospitalization after a fall at his Washington home that led to brief unconsciousness and a mild case of pneumonia.** He spent weeks in hospital and rehabilitation before being discharged on August 6 to continue intensive physical therapy at home, citing his childhood polio as a complicating factor in mobility. As of late August, the 84-year-old Kentucky Republican—who announced in 2025 that he would not seek reelection and plans to retire when his term ends in January 2027—has remained out of public view with no confirmed Senate floor appearances or return timeline. The Senate adjourned for its August recess, with members scheduled to return after Labor Day, leaving limited session time before September 30. Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear has publicly stated he received no health updates despite repeated requests, and McConnell’s office has provided only general statements about ongoing recovery and staff engagement. These factors have produced a trader consensus reflected in the 72% implied probability on “No,” driven by the extended absence and lack of medical clearance signals for floor activity.