Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran’s parliament in late May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, securing a seventh consecutive term despite challengers from the ultraconservative Paydari faction. Limited internal criticism surfaced in June over his handling of U.S. talks and parliamentary procedures during wartime disruptions, yet an internal tally showed fewer than 30 lawmakers opposed his leadership, and no formal removal effort advanced. Ghalibaf continues to hold the speakership alongside his role in regional diplomacy, including recent high-level visits to Iraq, with no subsequent legislative votes or leadership challenges reported through mid-August. Traders weigh these institutional majorities and the absence of decisive opposition against the potential for future factional pressure ahead of any scheduled presiding-board votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$49,186 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
4%
December 31
16%
$49,186 Vol.
September 30
$7,442 Vol.
4%
December 31
$18,157 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran’s parliament in late May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, securing a seventh consecutive term despite challengers from the ultraconservative Paydari faction. Limited internal criticism surfaced in June over his handling of U.S. talks and parliamentary procedures during wartime disruptions, yet an internal tally showed fewer than 30 lawmakers opposed his leadership, and no formal removal effort advanced. Ghalibaf continues to hold the speakership alongside his role in regional diplomacy, including recent high-level visits to Iraq, with no subsequent legislative votes or leadership challenges reported through mid-August. Traders weigh these institutional majorities and the absence of decisive opposition against the potential for future factional pressure ahead of any scheduled presiding-board votes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Volume
$49,186End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran’s parliament in late May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, securing a seventh consecutive term despite challengers from the ultraconservative Paydari faction. Limited internal criticism surfaced in June over his handling of U.S. talks and parliamentary procedures during wartime disruptions, yet an internal tally showed fewer than 30 lawmakers opposed his leadership, and no formal removal effort advanced. Ghalibaf continues to hold the speakership alongside his role in regional diplomacy, including recent high-level visits to Iraq, with no subsequent legislative votes or leadership challenges reported through mid-August. Traders weigh these institutional majorities and the absence of decisive opposition against the potential for future factional pressure ahead of any scheduled presiding-board votes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,186End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf was re-elected speaker of Iran’s parliament in late May 2026 with 235 of 271 votes cast, securing a seventh consecutive term despite challengers from the ultraconservative Paydari faction. Limited internal criticism surfaced in June over his handling of U.S. talks and parliamentary procedures during wartime disruptions, yet an internal tally showed fewer than 30 lawmakers opposed his leadership, and no formal removal effort advanced. Ghalibaf continues to hold the speakership alongside his role in regional diplomacy, including recent high-level visits to Iraq, with no subsequent legislative votes or leadership challenges reported through mid-August. Traders weigh these institutional majorities and the absence of decisive opposition against the potential for future factional pressure ahead of any scheduled presiding-board votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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