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icon for NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?

20-39 98.0%

40-59 1.6%

60-79 <1%

80-99 <1%

Polymarket

$15,807 Vol.

20-39 98.0%

40-59 1.6%

60-79 <1%

80-99 <1%

Polymarket

$15,807 Vol.

20-39

$6,631 Vol.

98%

40-59

$2,151 Vol.

2%

60-79

$2,239 Vol.

1%

80-99

$693 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$433 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$321 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$316 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$379 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$379 Vol.

<1%

200+

$317 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who took office in January 2026 after winning the 2025 election, maintains a consistent but moderate posting pace on X via the official @NYCMayor account.** Trader consensus heavily favors the 20-39 range at 98% because historical weekly volumes for this account have clustered in that band during routine periods, reflecting a pattern of official announcements, community updates, and event promotions rather than high-frequency engagement. Key drivers include scheduled city business such as grants, public safety notes, and seasonal initiatives, without major breaking developments or crises this week that would trigger additional volume. The market's resolution counts main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts (but not replies) between August 18 and 25, aligning with observed patterns from comparable recent intervals. A major emergency, high-profile controversy, or coordinated campaign push could realistically push totals above 40, while an unusually quiet stretch focused on internal administration could test the lower end of the favored range. The tight clustering around moderate output reflects the account's established cadence amid normal governance activity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$15,807
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who took office in January 2026 after winning the 2025 election, maintains a consistent but moderate posting pace on X via the official @NYCMayor account.** Trader consensus heavily favors the 20-39 range at 98% because historical weekly volumes for this account have clustered in that band during routine periods, reflecting a pattern of official announcements, community updates, and event promotions rather than high-frequency engagement. Key drivers include scheduled city business such as grants, public safety notes, and seasonal initiatives, without major breaking developments or crises this week that would trigger additional volume. The market's resolution counts main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts (but not replies) between August 18 and 25, aligning with observed patterns from comparable recent intervals. A major emergency, high-profile controversy, or coordinated campaign push could realistically push totals above 40, while an unusually quiet stretch focused on internal administration could test the lower end of the favored range. The tight clustering around moderate output reflects the account's established cadence amid normal governance activity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$15,807
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 98%, followed by "40-59" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" has generated $15.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" is "20-39" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NYC Mayor # posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.