Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and district councils in April 2026, shifting the mandate expiration from July 2026 to October 2028 after the National Electoral Commission had recommended only a 10-month delay. The decision cited security challenges in regions such as Sool, Sanaag, and Awdal, widespread drought affecting voter registration, and technical hurdles in updating electoral rolls and equipment. With the current date in August 2026 and no polls held since the 2021 contest that gave Waddani a plurality, traders assign overwhelming probability to no parliamentary election occurring before 2027. An earlier vote would require reversal of the Guurti extension, accelerated National Electoral Commission preparations, or major improvement in eastern security conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSomaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.4%
Waddani 1.9%
Kulmiye 1.5%
$94,966 Vol.
$94,966 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
No election before 2027
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
2%
Waddani
2%
Kulmiye
2%
No election before 2027 95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID) 2.4%
Waddani 1.9%
Kulmiye 1.5%
$94,966 Vol.
$94,966 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
No election before 2027
$85,019 Vol.
95%
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
$4,301 Vol.
2%
Waddani
$2,566 Vol.
2%
Kulmiye
$3,080 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and district councils in April 2026, shifting the mandate expiration from July 2026 to October 2028 after the National Electoral Commission had recommended only a 10-month delay. The decision cited security challenges in regions such as Sool, Sanaag, and Awdal, widespread drought affecting voter registration, and technical hurdles in updating electoral rolls and equipment. With the current date in August 2026 and no polls held since the 2021 contest that gave Waddani a plurality, traders assign overwhelming probability to no parliamentary election occurring before 2027. An earlier vote would require reversal of the Guurti extension, accelerated National Electoral Commission preparations, or major improvement in eastern security conditions.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Volume
$94,966End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and district councils in April 2026, shifting the mandate expiration from July 2026 to October 2028 after the National Electoral Commission had recommended only a 10-month delay. The decision cited security challenges in regions such as Sool, Sanaag, and Awdal, widespread drought affecting voter registration, and technical hurdles in updating electoral rolls and equipment. With the current date in August 2026 and no polls held since the 2021 contest that gave Waddani a plurality, traders assign overwhelming probability to no parliamentary election occurring before 2027. An earlier vote would require reversal of the Guurti extension, accelerated National Electoral Commission preparations, or major improvement in eastern security conditions.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Volume
$94,966End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland’s House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension for the House of Representatives and district councils in April 2026, shifting the mandate expiration from July 2026 to October 2028 after the National Electoral Commission had recommended only a 10-month delay. The decision cited security challenges in regions such as Sool, Sanaag, and Awdal, widespread drought affecting voter registration, and technical hurdles in updating electoral rolls and equipment. With the current date in August 2026 and no polls held since the 2021 contest that gave Waddani a plurality, traders assign overwhelming probability to no parliamentary election occurring before 2027. An earlier vote would require reversal of the Guurti extension, accelerated National Electoral Commission preparations, or major improvement in eastern security conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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