Iran’s government has repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most notably a near-total blackout beginning January 8, 2026, that lasted until partial restoration in late May after 88 days—the longest recorded in any country. Authorities cited national security amid 2025–2026 protests triggered by economic collapse and currency pressures, then extended controls through the February–April 2026 period of U.S. and Israeli strikes. Monitoring data from NetBlocks, Cloudflare Radar, and Kentik showed connectivity falling to 1–4% of normal levels, with domestic National Information Network services prioritized while international traffic and platforms such as WhatsApp and Instagram were blocked. Partial reopening in May–June left speeds low, filtering intact, and access uneven under a developing whitelist or “Internet Pro” tiered system favoring select users and institutions. Recent months show continued throttling, infrastructure incidents, and policy moves toward centralized control and harsher penalties for online activity rather than full restoration. Traders therefore focus on whether renewed protests, economic shocks, or escalation risks could prompt authorities to reimpose a complete cutoff meeting the market’s strict 1% traffic threshold for six consecutive hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$240,863 Vol.
August 31
2%
September 30
11%
December 31
35%
$240,863 Vol.
August 31
2%
September 30
11%
December 31
35%
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s government has repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most notably a near-total blackout beginning January 8, 2026, that lasted until partial restoration in late May after 88 days—the longest recorded in any country. Authorities cited national security amid 2025–2026 protests triggered by economic collapse and currency pressures, then extended controls through the February–April 2026 period of U.S. and Israeli strikes. Monitoring data from NetBlocks, Cloudflare Radar, and Kentik showed connectivity falling to 1–4% of normal levels, with domestic National Information Network services prioritized while international traffic and platforms such as WhatsApp and Instagram were blocked. Partial reopening in May–June left speeds low, filtering intact, and access uneven under a developing whitelist or “Internet Pro” tiered system favoring select users and institutions. Recent months show continued throttling, infrastructure incidents, and policy moves toward centralized control and harsher penalties for online activity rather than full restoration. Traders therefore focus on whether renewed protests, economic shocks, or escalation risks could prompt authorities to reimpose a complete cutoff meeting the market’s strict 1% traffic threshold for six consecutive hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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