Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with individual surveys from late August ranging from 33% to 43% approve amid widespread dissatisfaction with inflation, prices, and foreign policy. The ongoing Iran conflict and related economic pressures have kept net approval deeply negative across multiple trackers, while Rasmussen and some others show modestly higher readings near 42%. With September 4 just days away, trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.4 range as the most probable outcome, reflecting the stability of these figures absent major new catalysts in the immediate resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 48%
37.0–37.4 26%
37.5–37.9 26%
39.0+ 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
11%
37.0–37.4
26%
37.5–37.9
26%
38.0–38.4
48%
38.5–38.9
24%
39.0+
25%
38.0–38.4 48%
37.0–37.4 26%
37.5–37.9 26%
39.0+ 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
$20 Vol.
11%
37.0–37.4
$0 Vol.
26%
37.5–37.9
$0 Vol.
26%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
48%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
24%
39.0+
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with individual surveys from late August ranging from 33% to 43% approve amid widespread dissatisfaction with inflation, prices, and foreign policy. The ongoing Iran conflict and related economic pressures have kept net approval deeply negative across multiple trackers, while Rasmussen and some others show modestly higher readings near 42%. With September 4 just days away, trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.4 range as the most probable outcome, reflecting the stability of these figures absent major new catalysts in the immediate resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with individual surveys from late August ranging from 33% to 43% approve amid widespread dissatisfaction with inflation, prices, and foreign policy. The ongoing Iran conflict and related economic pressures have kept net approval deeply negative across multiple trackers, while Rasmussen and some others show modestly higher readings near 42%. With September 4 just days away, trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.4 range as the most probable outcome, reflecting the stability of these figures absent major new catalysts in the immediate resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with individual surveys from late August ranging from 33% to 43% approve amid widespread dissatisfaction with inflation, prices, and foreign policy. The ongoing Iran conflict and related economic pressures have kept net approval deeply negative across multiple trackers, while Rasmussen and some others show modestly higher readings near 42%. With September 4 just days away, trader consensus centers on the 38.0–38.4 range as the most probable outcome, reflecting the stability of these figures absent major new catalysts in the immediate resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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