Trump’s job approval has remained deeply negative in recent national polling, with averages near 38 percent approve and 59 percent disapprove as of early September 2026, pressured by sustained voter pessimism over the economy, cost of living, and tariffs. Recent surveys, including an FT/Focaldata poll showing a record-low 33 percent approval and a Civiqs tracking map at 34 percent, highlight widening dissatisfaction even among some Republicans amid high fuel prices linked to the Iran conflict and new trade measures. At the same time, entrenched partisan divides have limited further erosion, with Republican support holding above 70 percent in most polls. This competitive balance leaves room for weekly movement driven by economic data releases, any Iran-related diplomatic or military updates, tariff announcements, or midterm-related messaging that could shift independent or base sentiment before the November elections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
47% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
Up
47% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 4, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s job approval has remained deeply negative in recent national polling, with averages near 38 percent approve and 59 percent disapprove as of early September 2026, pressured by sustained voter pessimism over the economy, cost of living, and tariffs. Recent surveys, including an FT/Focaldata poll showing a record-low 33 percent approval and a Civiqs tracking map at 34 percent, highlight widening dissatisfaction even among some Republicans amid high fuel prices linked to the Iran conflict and new trade measures. At the same time, entrenched partisan divides have limited further erosion, with Republican support holding above 70 percent in most polls. This competitive balance leaves room for weekly movement driven by economic data releases, any Iran-related diplomatic or military updates, tariff announcements, or midterm-related messaging that could shift independent or base sentiment before the November elections.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 4, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 4, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 4, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s job approval has remained deeply negative in recent national polling, with averages near 38 percent approve and 59 percent disapprove as of early September 2026, pressured by sustained voter pessimism over the economy, cost of living, and tariffs. Recent surveys, including an FT/Focaldata poll showing a record-low 33 percent approval and a Civiqs tracking map at 34 percent, highlight widening dissatisfaction even among some Republicans amid high fuel prices linked to the Iran conflict and new trade measures. At the same time, entrenched partisan divides have limited further erosion, with Republican support holding above 70 percent in most polls. This competitive balance leaves room for weekly movement driven by economic data releases, any Iran-related diplomatic or military updates, tariff announcements, or midterm-related messaging that could shift independent or base sentiment before the November elections.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 11, 2026, than on September 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 4, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on September 4, 2026, than on September 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s job approval has remained deeply negative in recent national polling, with averages near 38 percent approve and 59 percent disapprove as of early September 2026, pressured by sustained voter pessimism over the economy, cost of living, and tariffs. Recent surveys, including an FT/Focaldata poll showing a record-low 33 percent approval and a Civiqs tracking map at 34 percent, highlight widening dissatisfaction even among some Republicans amid high fuel prices linked to the Iran conflict and new trade measures. At the same time, entrenched partisan divides have limited further erosion, with Republican support holding above 70 percent in most polls. This competitive balance leaves room for weekly movement driven by economic data releases, any Iran-related diplomatic or military updates, tariff announcements, or midterm-related messaging that could shift independent or base sentiment before the November elections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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