Recent polling from multiple aggregators places Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with Civiqs tracking at 34 percent approve and broader averages near 37–38 percent. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policy has anchored ratings in this range since summer, while the ongoing Iran conflict continues to weigh on foreign-policy assessments. With only days until the September 11 measurement, the narrow spread between the 37.5–37.9 and 38.0–38.4 bins reflects trader expectations of limited movement absent a major event, as daily tracking shows modest volatility within the established band. Upcoming midterm dynamics and any last-minute economic data releases could still influence the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 54%
38.5–38.9 30%
37.5–37.9 27%
<37.5 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
25%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
54%
38.5–38.9
30%
39.0–39.4
15%
39.5+
7%
38.0–38.4 54%
38.5–38.9 30%
37.5–37.9 27%
<37.5 25%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
$0 Vol.
25%
37.5–37.9
$0 Vol.
27%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
54%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
30%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
15%
39.5+
$2 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from multiple aggregators places Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with Civiqs tracking at 34 percent approve and broader averages near 37–38 percent. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policy has anchored ratings in this range since summer, while the ongoing Iran conflict continues to weigh on foreign-policy assessments. With only days until the September 11 measurement, the narrow spread between the 37.5–37.9 and 38.0–38.4 bins reflects trader expectations of limited movement absent a major event, as daily tracking shows modest volatility within the established band. Upcoming midterm dynamics and any last-minute economic data releases could still influence the final reading.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$2End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from multiple aggregators places Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with Civiqs tracking at 34 percent approve and broader averages near 37–38 percent. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policy has anchored ratings in this range since summer, while the ongoing Iran conflict continues to weigh on foreign-policy assessments. With only days until the September 11 measurement, the narrow spread between the 37.5–37.9 and 38.0–38.4 bins reflects trader expectations of limited movement absent a major event, as daily tracking shows modest volatility within the established band. Upcoming midterm dynamics and any last-minute economic data releases could still influence the final reading.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from multiple aggregators places Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with Civiqs tracking at 34 percent approve and broader averages near 37–38 percent. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and trade policy has anchored ratings in this range since summer, while the ongoing Iran conflict continues to weigh on foreign-policy assessments. With only days until the September 11 measurement, the narrow spread between the 37.5–37.9 and 38.0–38.4 bins reflects trader expectations of limited movement absent a major event, as daily tracking shows modest volatility within the established band. Upcoming midterm dynamics and any last-minute economic data releases could still influence the final reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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