Legislation authorizing a new $250 Federal Reserve note featuring President Trump remains stalled in Congress, with H.R. 1761 introduced in February 2025 but showing no meaningful progress toward passage by late August 2026. Current statutes prohibit portraits of living persons on U.S. currency, and Treasury officials have confirmed that any design work, including May 2026 mockups tied to the semiquincentennial, cannot proceed to printing or issuance without explicit congressional approval. Senate Democrats have requested an inspector general review of related Treasury resources, adding procedural friction. Traders assign 97.2% probability to "No" because the remaining legislative calendar leaves insufficient time for enactment, reconciliation, and production within the calendar year. A late-session breakthrough or unexpected override of procedural holds could still shift the outcome before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3% chance
$28,694 Vol.
$28,694 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% chance
$28,694 Vol.
$28,694 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation authorizing a new $250 Federal Reserve note featuring President Trump remains stalled in Congress, with H.R. 1761 introduced in February 2025 but showing no meaningful progress toward passage by late August 2026. Current statutes prohibit portraits of living persons on U.S. currency, and Treasury officials have confirmed that any design work, including May 2026 mockups tied to the semiquincentennial, cannot proceed to printing or issuance without explicit congressional approval. Senate Democrats have requested an inspector general review of related Treasury resources, adding procedural friction. Traders assign 97.2% probability to "No" because the remaining legislative calendar leaves insufficient time for enactment, reconciliation, and production within the calendar year. A late-session breakthrough or unexpected override of procedural holds could still shift the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Volume
$28,694End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation authorizing a new $250 Federal Reserve note featuring President Trump remains stalled in Congress, with H.R. 1761 introduced in February 2025 but showing no meaningful progress toward passage by late August 2026. Current statutes prohibit portraits of living persons on U.S. currency, and Treasury officials have confirmed that any design work, including May 2026 mockups tied to the semiquincentennial, cannot proceed to printing or issuance without explicit congressional approval. Senate Democrats have requested an inspector general review of related Treasury resources, adding procedural friction. Traders assign 97.2% probability to "No" because the remaining legislative calendar leaves insufficient time for enactment, reconciliation, and production within the calendar year. A late-session breakthrough or unexpected override of procedural holds could still shift the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,694End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legislation authorizing a new $250 Federal Reserve note featuring President Trump remains stalled in Congress, with H.R. 1761 introduced in February 2025 but showing no meaningful progress toward passage by late August 2026. Current statutes prohibit portraits of living persons on U.S. currency, and Treasury officials have confirmed that any design work, including May 2026 mockups tied to the semiquincentennial, cannot proceed to printing or issuance without explicit congressional approval. Senate Democrats have requested an inspector general review of related Treasury resources, adding procedural friction. Traders assign 97.2% probability to "No" because the remaining legislative calendar leaves insufficient time for enactment, reconciliation, and production within the calendar year. A late-session breakthrough or unexpected override of procedural holds could still shift the outcome before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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