Palantir's Q2 2026 results, with revenue surging 93% year-over-year to $1.94 billion and U.S. commercial revenue jumping 149% to $764 million, represent the primary catalyst lifting trader sentiment for August price levels. The company raised full-year revenue guidance to $8.15–8.16 billion, underscoring accelerating AIP platform adoption and a Rule of 40 score exceeding 150%. Shares rallied sharply post-earnings to trade near $180 as of August 21, recovering from a roughly 29% year-to-date decline amid elevated valuation multiples above 60x sales. Key upcoming factors include Q3 results in early November and broader AI sector momentum, though profit-taking and macro rate sensitivity could introduce near-term swings in implied probabilities for specific August closing thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$37,865 Vol.
↓ $120
2%
↓ $114
1%
↓ $108
3%
↓ $102
1%
↓ $96
<1%
↓ $90
2%
↓ $84
1%
$37,865 Vol.
↓ $120
2%
↓ $114
1%
↓ $108
3%
↓ $102
1%
↓ $96
<1%
↓ $90
2%
↓ $84
1%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Palantir's Q2 2026 results, with revenue surging 93% year-over-year to $1.94 billion and U.S. commercial revenue jumping 149% to $764 million, represent the primary catalyst lifting trader sentiment for August price levels. The company raised full-year revenue guidance to $8.15–8.16 billion, underscoring accelerating AIP platform adoption and a Rule of 40 score exceeding 150%. Shares rallied sharply post-earnings to trade near $180 as of August 21, recovering from a roughly 29% year-to-date decline amid elevated valuation multiples above 60x sales. Key upcoming factors include Q3 results in early November and broader AI sector momentum, though profit-taking and macro rate sensitivity could introduce near-term swings in implied probabilities for specific August closing thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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