Recent statements from Kremlin aide Yury Ushakov have elevated prospects for a sideline encounter at the November 2026 APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, where Putin has confirmed attendance and the United States has committed a delegation, though Trump’s personal participation remains unconfirmed. This has narrowed the gap with the leading “no meeting by year-end” outcome amid stalled bilateral diplomacy on the Ukraine conflict, including unproductive envoy-level contacts and White House indications of no immediate plans following earlier speculation around Budapest or other venues. Persistent disagreements over territorial issues and security guarantees continue to limit momentum for a dedicated summit, while the short remaining timeline before December 31 sustains uncertainty over whether any high-level bilateral engagement will occur.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 52%
China 44%
Russia 1.3%
Gulf country <1%
$625,302 Vol.
$625,302 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
52%

China
44%

Russia
1%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Other
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 52%
China 44%
Russia 1.3%
Gulf country <1%
$625,302 Vol.
$625,302 Vol.

No meeting by December 31
52%

China
44%

Russia
1%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Switzerland
<1%

Other
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent statements from Kremlin aide Yury Ushakov have elevated prospects for a sideline encounter at the November 2026 APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, where Putin has confirmed attendance and the United States has committed a delegation, though Trump’s personal participation remains unconfirmed. This has narrowed the gap with the leading “no meeting by year-end” outcome amid stalled bilateral diplomacy on the Ukraine conflict, including unproductive envoy-level contacts and White House indications of no immediate plans following earlier speculation around Budapest or other venues. Persistent disagreements over territorial issues and security guarantees continue to limit momentum for a dedicated summit, while the short remaining timeline before December 31 sustains uncertainty over whether any high-level bilateral engagement will occur.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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