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icon for Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?
Politics·Compute

Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?

icon for Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?
Politics·Compute

Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?

26% chance
Polymarket
NEW
26% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify. Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify. The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Local-level pushback against Flock Safety license plate readers has intensified in 2026, with dozens of cities and counties canceling contracts or deactivating cameras over data-sharing, privacy, and immigration-enforcement concerns, yet no state has enacted a full ban or statewide pause.** More than 50 jurisdictions have taken such steps since January 2026, including recent actions in Rhode Island, Nebraska, Connecticut towns considering moratoria, and the LAPD’s July suspension pending stronger contractual safeguards. Washington’s SB 6002, effective March 2026, imposed the first statewide limits on ALPR access, retention, and permissible uses without prohibiting deployment. Flock has responded by recommending shorter data-retention periods and adding filters, while lawmakers in several states pursue targeted regulations rather than outright prohibitions. These patterns of localized decisions and incremental oversight, rather than uniform state-level bans, underpin traders’ 74.5% implied probability that no state will ban or pause police use by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify.

Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify.

The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.

A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,254
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify. Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify. The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify. Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify. The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Local-level pushback against Flock Safety license plate readers has intensified in 2026, with dozens of cities and counties canceling contracts or deactivating cameras over data-sharing, privacy, and immigration-enforcement concerns, yet no state has enacted a full ban or statewide pause.** More than 50 jurisdictions have taken such steps since January 2026, including recent actions in Rhode Island, Nebraska, Connecticut towns considering moratoria, and the LAPD’s July suspension pending stronger contractual safeguards. Washington’s SB 6002, effective March 2026, imposed the first statewide limits on ALPR access, retention, and permissible uses without prohibiting deployment. Flock has responded by recommending shorter data-retention periods and adding filters, while lawmakers in several states pursue targeted regulations rather than outright prohibitions. These patterns of localized decisions and incremental oversight, rather than uniform state-level bans, underpin traders’ 74.5% implied probability that no state will ban or pause police use by year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify.

Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify.

The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.

A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,254
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any U.S. state imposes a new restriction that temporarily or indefinitely prohibits the installation or operation of cameras made by Flock Safety, or any parent, subsidiary, or successor corporation, by police forces within that state. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying restriction may be specific to Flock Safety or may apply to automated license plate reader cameras generally, so long as it covers cameras made by Flock Safety. A qualifying restriction need not be permanent; a temporary moratorium or pause will qualify. Measures that impose conditions on use — including purpose limitations, data-retention limits, warrant requirements, audit requirements, or restrictions on data sharing — will not qualify. Only measures that prohibit, suspend, or pause the installation or operation of such cameras will qualify. The restriction must come from a state. A restriction imposed by a city, county, or other political subdivision will not qualify. Qualifying restrictions must be imposed in accordance with the applicable state's constitutional and legal procedures, and may come via enacted legislation, executive order, court order applying statewide, or a binding directive issued by a state official or agency with statewide authority over the relevant police forces. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. A qualifying restriction imposed within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later lifted, repealed, enjoined, or overturned, and regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 26% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 26¢, the market collectively assigns a 26% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?" is 26% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 26% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.