Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers of the constitutional amendment process required to repeal the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms. Achieving two-thirds support in both houses of Congress and ratification by three-fourths of the states demands levels of bipartisan agreement absent in the current polarized environment. No significant legislative proposals, committee actions, or state-level campaigns have advanced in 2026, and competing priorities such as appropriations and midterm positioning dominate congressional agendas. Historical precedent shows repeated failures to alter term limits despite occasional discussion. Narrow scenarios that could still shift odds include an unexpected surge in unified party control paired with coordinated state ratifications, though such alignment remains remote under present conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3% chance
$13,082 Vol.
$13,082 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
3% chance
$13,082 Vol.
$13,082 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers of the constitutional amendment process required to repeal the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms. Achieving two-thirds support in both houses of Congress and ratification by three-fourths of the states demands levels of bipartisan agreement absent in the current polarized environment. No significant legislative proposals, committee actions, or state-level campaigns have advanced in 2026, and competing priorities such as appropriations and midterm positioning dominate congressional agendas. Historical precedent shows repeated failures to alter term limits despite occasional discussion. Narrow scenarios that could still shift odds include an unexpected surge in unified party control paired with coordinated state ratifications, though such alignment remains remote under present conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$13,082End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers of the constitutional amendment process required to repeal the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms. Achieving two-thirds support in both houses of Congress and ratification by three-fourths of the states demands levels of bipartisan agreement absent in the current polarized environment. No significant legislative proposals, committee actions, or state-level campaigns have advanced in 2026, and competing priorities such as appropriations and midterm positioning dominate congressional agendas. Historical precedent shows repeated failures to alter term limits despite occasional discussion. Narrow scenarios that could still shift odds include an unexpected surge in unified party control paired with coordinated state ratifications, though such alignment remains remote under present conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Volume
$13,082End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers of the constitutional amendment process required to repeal the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms. Achieving two-thirds support in both houses of Congress and ratification by three-fourths of the states demands levels of bipartisan agreement absent in the current polarized environment. No significant legislative proposals, committee actions, or state-level campaigns have advanced in 2026, and competing priorities such as appropriations and midterm positioning dominate congressional agendas. Historical precedent shows repeated failures to alter term limits despite occasional discussion. Narrow scenarios that could still shift odds include an unexpected surge in unified party control paired with coordinated state ratifications, though such alignment remains remote under present conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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