David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with a narrow 39.8% to 39.4% victory over Francesca Hong, consolidating establishment support after a chaotic field that saw multiple withdrawals and an endorsement from retiring Gov. Tony Evers. Tom Tiffany captured the Republican nomination with over 95% of the vote. Recent polling averages show Crowley holding a slim edge of about 47% to 43% in the November 3 general election for the open seat. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing likely incorporates Wisconsin’s recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests, Crowley’s Milwaukee County base for boosting urban turnout, Tiffany’s stronger rural and northern Wisconsin profile, and the absence of an incumbent advantage. No major post-primary shifts have altered the race fundamentals in the past two weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$479,575 Vol.
$479,575 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
80%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$479,575 Vol.
$479,575 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
$242,838 Vol.
80%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$236,737 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with a narrow 39.8% to 39.4% victory over Francesca Hong, consolidating establishment support after a chaotic field that saw multiple withdrawals and an endorsement from retiring Gov. Tony Evers. Tom Tiffany captured the Republican nomination with over 95% of the vote. Recent polling averages show Crowley holding a slim edge of about 47% to 43% in the November 3 general election for the open seat. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing likely incorporates Wisconsin’s recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests, Crowley’s Milwaukee County base for boosting urban turnout, Tiffany’s stronger rural and northern Wisconsin profile, and the absence of an incumbent advantage. No major post-primary shifts have altered the race fundamentals in the past two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$479,575End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with a narrow 39.8% to 39.4% victory over Francesca Hong, consolidating establishment support after a chaotic field that saw multiple withdrawals and an endorsement from retiring Gov. Tony Evers. Tom Tiffany captured the Republican nomination with over 95% of the vote. Recent polling averages show Crowley holding a slim edge of about 47% to 43% in the November 3 general election for the open seat. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing likely incorporates Wisconsin’s recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests, Crowley’s Milwaukee County base for boosting urban turnout, Tiffany’s stronger rural and northern Wisconsin profile, and the absence of an incumbent advantage. No major post-primary shifts have altered the race fundamentals in the past two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$479,575End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with a narrow 39.8% to 39.4% victory over Francesca Hong, consolidating establishment support after a chaotic field that saw multiple withdrawals and an endorsement from retiring Gov. Tony Evers. Tom Tiffany captured the Republican nomination with over 95% of the vote. Recent polling averages show Crowley holding a slim edge of about 47% to 43% in the November 3 general election for the open seat. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing likely incorporates Wisconsin’s recent Democratic performance in gubernatorial contests, Crowley’s Milwaukee County base for boosting urban turnout, Tiffany’s stronger rural and northern Wisconsin profile, and the absence of an incumbent advantage. No major post-primary shifts have altered the race fundamentals in the past two weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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