**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration.** Multiple additional convictions, including a seven-year term upheld by the Supreme Court in July 2026 on charges of obstructing cabinet procedures, falsifying records, and resisting arrest, reinforce his detained status. Appeals on the life sentence are pending, but South Korea’s judicial timeline for such cases—marked by layered trials, evidence review, and procedural steps—typically extends well beyond the December 31, 2026 resolution date. No recent executive actions, pardons, or bail rulings have altered the trajectory, aligning trader consensus on sustained custody through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
8% chance
$200,931 Vol.
$200,931 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% chance
$200,931 Vol.
$200,931 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration.** Multiple additional convictions, including a seven-year term upheld by the Supreme Court in July 2026 on charges of obstructing cabinet procedures, falsifying records, and resisting arrest, reinforce his detained status. Appeals on the life sentence are pending, but South Korea’s judicial timeline for such cases—marked by layered trials, evidence review, and procedural steps—typically extends well beyond the December 31, 2026 resolution date. No recent executive actions, pardons, or bail rulings have altered the trajectory, aligning trader consensus on sustained custody through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$200,931End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration.** Multiple additional convictions, including a seven-year term upheld by the Supreme Court in July 2026 on charges of obstructing cabinet procedures, falsifying records, and resisting arrest, reinforce his detained status. Appeals on the life sentence are pending, but South Korea’s judicial timeline for such cases—marked by layered trials, evidence review, and procedural steps—typically extends well beyond the December 31, 2026 resolution date. No recent executive actions, pardons, or bail rulings have altered the trajectory, aligning trader consensus on sustained custody through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$200,931End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration.** Multiple additional convictions, including a seven-year term upheld by the Supreme Court in July 2026 on charges of obstructing cabinet procedures, falsifying records, and resisting arrest, reinforce his detained status. Appeals on the life sentence are pending, but South Korea’s judicial timeline for such cases—marked by layered trials, evidence review, and procedural steps—typically extends well beyond the December 31, 2026 resolution date. No recent executive actions, pardons, or bail rulings have altered the trajectory, aligning trader consensus on sustained custody through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions