Zohran Mamdani assumed office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following his 2025 election victory, and holds a term extending through 2030. Trader consensus at 95.5% against an early exit before 2027 reflects his stable position early in the term, with approval ratings in recent city polls ranging from the low 40s to mid-50s among registered voters and no documented major scandals, legal proceedings, or institutional challenges sufficient to prompt resignation or removal. Administration actions on housing reforms, budget negotiations, and public safety have proceeded without triggering widespread calls for departure. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a significant ethics investigation, sudden health event, or sustained fiscal or public safety crisis eroding support among key stakeholders such as the city council or state officials.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
5% chance
$70,155 Vol.
$70,155 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
5% chance
$70,155 Vol.
$70,155 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Zohran Mamdani assumed office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following his 2025 election victory, and holds a term extending through 2030. Trader consensus at 95.5% against an early exit before 2027 reflects his stable position early in the term, with approval ratings in recent city polls ranging from the low 40s to mid-50s among registered voters and no documented major scandals, legal proceedings, or institutional challenges sufficient to prompt resignation or removal. Administration actions on housing reforms, budget negotiations, and public safety have proceeded without triggering widespread calls for departure. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a significant ethics investigation, sudden health event, or sustained fiscal or public safety crisis eroding support among key stakeholders such as the city council or state officials.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ET
Volume
$70,155End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Zohran Mamdani assumed office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following his 2025 election victory, and holds a term extending through 2030. Trader consensus at 95.5% against an early exit before 2027 reflects his stable position early in the term, with approval ratings in recent city polls ranging from the low 40s to mid-50s among registered voters and no documented major scandals, legal proceedings, or institutional challenges sufficient to prompt resignation or removal. Administration actions on housing reforms, budget negotiations, and public safety have proceeded without triggering widespread calls for departure. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a significant ethics investigation, sudden health event, or sustained fiscal or public safety crisis eroding support among key stakeholders such as the city council or state officials.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$70,155End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zohran Mamdani assumed office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following his 2025 election victory, and holds a term extending through 2030. Trader consensus at 95.5% against an early exit before 2027 reflects his stable position early in the term, with approval ratings in recent city polls ranging from the low 40s to mid-50s among registered voters and no documented major scandals, legal proceedings, or institutional challenges sufficient to prompt resignation or removal. Administration actions on housing reforms, budget negotiations, and public safety have proceeded without triggering widespread calls for departure. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a significant ethics investigation, sudden health event, or sustained fiscal or public safety crisis eroding support among key stakeholders such as the city council or state officials.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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