Skip to main content
icon for Another Canada election called by...?
World·Canada

Another Canada election called by...?

icon for Another Canada election called by...?
World·Canada

Another Canada election called by...?

$93,815 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$93,815 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for December 31, 2026

December 31, 2026

$2,158 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Liberals under Prime Minister Mark Carney hold a majority government following the April 2025 election and subsequent by-elections that delivered enough seats by mid-2026.** The fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act set the next general election no later than October 15, 2029, and a majority reduces incentives for a snap contest. Recent by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, further stabilize the parliamentary arithmetic without altering the timeline. Opposition parties, including the Conservatives and a newly led NDP, lack the leverage or polling momentum to force dissolution. Historical precedent shows majority governments rarely call early elections absent major scandals or economic shocks, keeping the implied probability of any contest scheduled by December 31, 2026, low among traders. No scheduled parliamentary or constitutional events within the next several months point toward an earlier vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$93,815
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Liberals under Prime Minister Mark Carney hold a majority government following the April 2025 election and subsequent by-elections that delivered enough seats by mid-2026.** The fixed-date provisions of the Canada Elections Act set the next general election no later than October 15, 2029, and a majority reduces incentives for a snap contest. Recent by-elections scheduled for August 31, 2026, further stabilize the parliamentary arithmetic without altering the timeline. Opposition parties, including the Conservatives and a newly led NDP, lack the leverage or polling momentum to force dissolution. Historical precedent shows majority governments rarely call early elections absent major scandals or economic shocks, keeping the implied probability of any contest scheduled by December 31, 2026, low among traders. No scheduled parliamentary or constitutional events within the next several months point toward an earlier vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$93,815
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related

icon for Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

96%
icon for French election called by December 31, 2026?

French election called by December 31, 2026?

5%
icon for Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?

Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?

2%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Another Canada election called by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31, 2026" at 5%, followed by "June 30, 2026" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 5¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 5% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Another Canada election called by...?" has generated $93.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Another Canada election called by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Another Canada election called by...?" is "December 31, 2026" at just 5%, with "June 30, 2026" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Another Canada election called by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.