The measure, appearing as Proposition 45 on the November 2026 ballot, would amend the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) and Permit Streamlining Act to impose strict deadlines—such as 365 business days for environmental impact reports—on reviews for designated essential projects including housing, clean energy, water infrastructure, transportation, and healthcare facilities. It would also limit alternatives analysis and accelerate judicial review of challenges. The initiative qualified for the ballot in June 2026 after the California Chamber of Commerce-backed campaign submitted sufficient signatures. A July 2026 Public Policy Institute of California poll showed 73% support among likely voters across partisan lines, driven by ongoing concerns over housing shortages, project delays, and infrastructure costs. This polling consensus underpins the current trader-implied probability for passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCalifornia Expedited Environmental Review Proposition
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition
72% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
72% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Proposition 45 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would amend the state’s landmark California Environmental Quality Act to create deadlines for environmental reviews of most housing, transportation, water, health and clean energy projects to speed up permitting and limit the court’s ability to stop or delay developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).The measure, appearing as Proposition 45 on the November 2026 ballot, would amend the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) and Permit Streamlining Act to impose strict deadlines—such as 365 business days for environmental impact reports—on reviews for designated essential projects including housing, clean energy, water infrastructure, transportation, and healthcare facilities. It would also limit alternatives analysis and accelerate judicial review of challenges. The initiative qualified for the ballot in June 2026 after the California Chamber of Commerce-backed campaign submitted sufficient signatures. A July 2026 Public Policy Institute of California poll showed 73% support among likely voters across partisan lines, driven by ongoing concerns over housing shortages, project delays, and infrastructure costs. This polling consensus underpins the current trader-implied probability for passage.
Proposition 45 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would amend the state’s landmark California Environmental Quality Act to create deadlines for environmental reviews of most housing, transportation, water, health and clean energy projects to speed up permitting and limit the court’s ability to stop or delay developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$233End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Proposition 45 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would amend the state’s landmark California Environmental Quality Act to create deadlines for environmental reviews of most housing, transportation, water, health and clean energy projects to speed up permitting and limit the court’s ability to stop or delay developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).The measure, appearing as Proposition 45 on the November 2026 ballot, would amend the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) and Permit Streamlining Act to impose strict deadlines—such as 365 business days for environmental impact reports—on reviews for designated essential projects including housing, clean energy, water infrastructure, transportation, and healthcare facilities. It would also limit alternatives analysis and accelerate judicial review of challenges. The initiative qualified for the ballot in June 2026 after the California Chamber of Commerce-backed campaign submitted sufficient signatures. A July 2026 Public Policy Institute of California poll showed 73% support among likely voters across partisan lines, driven by ongoing concerns over housing shortages, project delays, and infrastructure costs. This polling consensus underpins the current trader-implied probability for passage.
Proposition 45 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would amend the state’s landmark California Environmental Quality Act to create deadlines for environmental reviews of most housing, transportation, water, health and clean energy projects to speed up permitting and limit the court’s ability to stop or delay developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volume
$233End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The measure, appearing as Proposition 45 on the November 2026 ballot, would amend the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA) and Permit Streamlining Act to impose strict deadlines—such as 365 business days for environmental impact reports—on reviews for designated essential projects including housing, clean energy, water infrastructure, transportation, and healthcare facilities. It would also limit alternatives analysis and accelerate judicial review of challenges. The initiative qualified for the ballot in June 2026 after the California Chamber of Commerce-backed campaign submitted sufficient signatures. A July 2026 Public Policy Institute of California poll showed 73% support among likely voters across partisan lines, driven by ongoing concerns over housing shortages, project delays, and infrastructure costs. This polling consensus underpins the current trader-implied probability for passage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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